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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Millwall logo

Bristol City
1 - 2
Millwall

Hutchinson (71' og.)
Klose (43'), Semenyo (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradshaw (44'), Flemming (76')
Cooper (53'), Wallace (57'), McNamara (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Preston
Wednesday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Millwall

Bristol City's record suggests there should certainly be goals in Saturday's contest, and with home advantage and confidence from an Ashton Gate victory in midweek, we see them edging the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
41.63% (-0.139 -0.14) 27.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 31.21% (0.177 0.18)
Both teams to score 49.45% (0.186 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23% (0.206 0.21)55.76% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.1% (0.167 0.17)76.89% (-0.17 -0.17)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59% (0.018999999999991 0.02)26.4% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.43% (0.027999999999999 0.03)61.56% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.19% (0.23400000000001 0.23)32.8% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.63% (0.26 0.26)69.36% (-0.26299999999999 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 41.63%
    Millwall 31.21%
    Draw 27.14%
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 41.63%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.66% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 9.65% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.21%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Millwall

Bristol City
44.2%
Draw
23.3%
Millwall
32.6%
43
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2022 1pm
Bristol City
3-2
Millwall
Weimann (7', 73', 85')
Towler (28'), O'Dowda (48'), Semenyo (67'), Wells (90+4')
Bradshaw (23'), Afobe (29' pen.)
Cooper (20'), Afobe (84')
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Millwall
4-1
Bristol City
Wallace (5'), Malone (31'), Mitchell (52'), Bradshaw (58')
Mitchell (45'), McNamara (68')
Conway (16')
Baker (73')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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