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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Millwall logo

Bristol City
1 - 2
Millwall

Hutchinson (71' og.)
Klose (43'), Semenyo (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradshaw (44'), Flemming (76')
Cooper (53'), Wallace (57'), McNamara (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Preston
Wednesday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Millwall

Bristol City's record suggests there should certainly be goals in Saturday's contest, and with home advantage and confidence from an Ashton Gate victory in midweek, we see them edging the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
41.63% (-0.139 -0.14) 27.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 31.21% (0.177 0.18)
Both teams to score 49.45% (0.186 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23% (0.206 0.21)55.76% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.1% (0.167 0.17)76.89% (-0.17 -0.17)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59% (0.018999999999991 0.02)26.4% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.43% (0.027999999999999 0.03)61.56% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.19% (0.23400000000001 0.23)32.8% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.63% (0.26 0.26)69.36% (-0.26299999999999 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 41.63%
    Millwall 31.21%
    Draw 27.14%
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 41.63%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.66% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 9.65% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.21%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Millwall

Bristol City
44.2%
Draw
23.3%
Millwall
32.6%
43
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2022 1pm
Bristol City
3-2
Millwall
Weimann (7', 73', 85')
Towler (28'), O'Dowda (48'), Semenyo (67'), Wells (90+4')
Bradshaw (23'), Afobe (29' pen.)
Cooper (20'), Afobe (84')
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Millwall
4-1
Bristol City
Wallace (5'), Malone (31'), Mitchell (52'), Bradshaw (58')
Mitchell (45'), McNamara (68')
Conway (16')
Baker (73')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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