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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Swansea logo

West Brom
2 - 3
Swansea

Livermore (48'), Diangana (65')
Furlong (43'), Pieters (47'), Rogic (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sorinola (6'), Ntcham (71'), Obafemi (89')
Manning (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Hull City
Saturday, September 17 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-1 Swansea City

West Bromwich Albion will see it as crucial that they put a win on the board at home on Saturday, but they have managed just one victory so far this season, and we cannot predict them putting the Swans to the sword as a result. Instead, we see Martin's men holding this somewhat stagnant Baggies side and returning to south Wales with a valuable point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 18.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSwansea City
59.26% (-0.177 -0.18) 21.8% (0.052999999999997 0.05) 18.94% (0.131 0.13)
Both teams to score 53.81% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.94% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)44.07% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)66.45% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)14.51% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.49% (-0.125 -0.13)42.52% (0.133 0.13)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.94% (0.126 0.13)37.07% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15% (0.125 0.13)73.85% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 59.26%
    Swansea City 18.94%
    Draw 21.8%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.45% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 59.26%
1-1 @ 10.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.8%
0-1 @ 5.34% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.11% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.65% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 18.94%

How you voted: West Brom vs Swansea

West Bromwich Albion
64.3%
Draw
21.4%
Swansea City
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2022 8pm
Oct 20, 2021 7.45pm
Swansea
2-1
West Brom
Piroe (61'), Paterson (83')
Paterson (83'), Bennett (90')
Grant (1')
Ajayi (9'), Furlong (43'), Molumby (45'), Livermore (69')
Mar 13, 2019 8pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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