Championship

Championship | Gameweek 43

Jul 11, 2020 at 12.30pm UK

The Valley

Charlton
0 - 1
Reading

Doughty (63'), Cullen (71'), Forster-Caskey (85'), Phillips (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Puscas (3' pen.)
Blackett (45'), Osho (73'), Baldock (77')

Lee Bowyer fumes at referee as Charlton Athletic lose at Reading

Lee Bowyer's side had a goal ruled out for offside and were denied a late penalty.

Jul 11, 15:53

The Match

Match Report

George Puscas scored the only goal of the game for Reading

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship game between Charlton Athletic and Reading, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Reading in this match.

Result
Charlton Athletic	Draw	Reading
31.82%	26.74%	41.44%

Both teams to score 50.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.01%

53.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.57%

75.43%

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.53%

31.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.14%

67.85%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.31%

25.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.4%

60.6%

Score Analysis

Charlton Athletic 31.82%

Reading 41.44%

Draw 26.74%

Charlton Athletic	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 9.35% 2-1 @ 7.34% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.82%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 10.98% 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 7.47% 1-3 @ 3.91% 0-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.33% Total : 41.44%