Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 55.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.