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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pride Park
Bristol City

Derby
1 - 3
Bristol City

Forsyth (61')
Byrne (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Weimann (10'), Semenyo (38'), Klose (79')
Williams (9'), Benarous (16'), Semenyo (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 2-1 Bristol City

For all of their struggles away from home, Derby have been outstanding at Pride Park, and it makes them clear favourites to claim three points from this fixture. While Bristol City possess a greater sense of belief off the back of their recent improvements, the Rams should have enough to come through this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBristol City
52.84%23.98%23.18%
Both teams to score 53.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83%48.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68%70.32%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.82%18.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.83%49.18%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.81%35.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.06%71.94%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 52.83%
    Bristol City 23.18%
    Draw 23.98%
Derby CountyDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 9.3%
3-1 @ 5.52%
3-0 @ 5.28%
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 2.35%
4-0 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 52.83%
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.98%
0-1 @ 6.68%
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 3.49%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 23.18%

How you voted: Derby vs Bristol City

Derby County
57.1%
Draw
21.4%
Bristol City
21.4%
28
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Bristol City
1-0
Derby
Scott (16')
Bakinson (39'), Kalas (45+1'), Pring (80')

Knight (39'), Forsyth (40')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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