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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pride Park
Bristol City

Derby
1 - 3
Bristol City

Forsyth (61')
Byrne (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Weimann (10'), Semenyo (38'), Klose (79')
Williams (9'), Benarous (16'), Semenyo (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 2-1 Bristol City

For all of their struggles away from home, Derby have been outstanding at Pride Park, and it makes them clear favourites to claim three points from this fixture. While Bristol City possess a greater sense of belief off the back of their recent improvements, the Rams should have enough to come through this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBristol City
52.84%23.98%23.18%
Both teams to score 53.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83%48.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68%70.32%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.82%18.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.83%49.18%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.81%35.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.06%71.94%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 52.83%
    Bristol City 23.18%
    Draw 23.98%
Derby CountyDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 9.3%
3-1 @ 5.52%
3-0 @ 5.28%
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 2.35%
4-0 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 52.83%
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.98%
0-1 @ 6.68%
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 3.49%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 23.18%

How you voted: Derby vs Bristol City

Derby County
57.1%
Draw
21.4%
Bristol City
21.4%
28
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Bristol City
1-0
Derby
Scott (16')
Bakinson (39'), Kalas (45+1'), Pring (80')

Knight (39'), Forsyth (40')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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