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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pride Park
Bristol City

Derby
1 - 3
Bristol City

Forsyth (61')
Byrne (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Weimann (10'), Semenyo (38'), Klose (79')
Williams (9'), Benarous (16'), Semenyo (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 2-1 Bristol City

For all of their struggles away from home, Derby have been outstanding at Pride Park, and it makes them clear favourites to claim three points from this fixture. While Bristol City possess a greater sense of belief off the back of their recent improvements, the Rams should have enough to come through this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBristol City
52.84%23.98%23.18%
Both teams to score 53.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83%48.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68%70.32%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.82%18.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.83%49.18%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.81%35.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.06%71.94%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 52.83%
    Bristol City 23.18%
    Draw 23.98%
Derby CountyDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 9.3%
3-1 @ 5.52%
3-0 @ 5.28%
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 2.35%
4-0 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 52.83%
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.98%
0-1 @ 6.68%
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 3.49%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 23.18%

How you voted: Derby vs Bristol City

Derby County
57.1%
Draw
21.4%
Bristol City
21.4%
28
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Bristol City
1-0
Derby
Scott (16')
Bakinson (39'), Kalas (45+1'), Pring (80')

Knight (39'), Forsyth (40')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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