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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
22 | Peterborough United | 46 | -44 | 37 |
23 | Derby County | 46 | -8 | 34 |
24 | Barnsley | 46 | -40 | 30 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Bristol City | 46 | -15 | 55 |
18 | Cardiff City | 46 | -18 | 53 |
19 | Hull City | 46 | -13 | 51 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Cardiff City |
46.7% | 25.63% | 27.67% |
Both teams to score 52.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.62% | 51.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.8% | 73.2% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.01% | 21.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.7% | 55.3% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.85% | 33.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.24% | 69.76% |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.23% 2-0 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 4.66% 3-0 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.28% Total : 46.7% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.29% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.05% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 4.44% 1-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.46% Total : 27.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |