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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park
Cardiff City logo

Derby
0 - 1
Cardiff


Thompson (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hugill (55')
Ng (69'), Harris (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 1-0 Cardiff City

Derby may be dropping out of the Championship, but Rooney and his players are doing so with plenty of pride and we think the Rams will end on a high with victory on home turf. Only Barnsley are on worse form than Cardiff and the Bluebirds are unlikely to put up much of a fight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawCardiff City
46.7%25.63%27.67%
Both teams to score 52.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.62%51.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8%73.2%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01%21.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7%55.3%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.85%33.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.24%69.76%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 46.7%
    Cardiff City 27.67%
    Draw 25.63%
Derby CountyDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 9.23%
2-0 @ 8.36%
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-0 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 46.7%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 7.29%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 8.05%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 4.44%
1-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 27.67%

How you voted: Derby vs Cardiff

Derby County
71.0%
Draw
6.5%
Cardiff City
22.6%
31
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Cardiff
1-0
Derby
Ikpeazu (85')
Davies (26'), Doughty (90+2')

Buchanan (52'), Davies (62'), Bird (80'), Ebosele (90+3')
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Cardiff
4-0
Derby
Bacuna (22', 56'), Moore (48'), Vaulks (90+3')
Oct 28, 2020 7.45pm
Derby
1-1
Cardiff
Waghorn (24')
Jozwiak (82'), Shinnie (86'), te Wierik (90')
Moore (77')
Morrison (82'), Ojo (90+1'), Bacuna (90+3')
Jul 14, 2020 7.45pm
Sep 13, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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