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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK
Loftus Road
Derby logo

QPR
1 - 0
Derby

Amos (88')
Dozzell (59'), Field (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lawrence (56')
Lawrence (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Derby County

Despite their outstanding results at home, Derby have still lost eight successive league games on the road, so it is very difficult to predict anything other than a home win on Monday. The hosts have been far from their best so Derby should give them an almighty contest, but if QPR can build on their draw last time out, then they should have just enough in them to record a narrow victory to potentially condemn their visitors to relegation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawDerby County
52.85%23.87%23.29%
Both teams to score 53.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44%47.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23%69.77%
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05%17.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.22%48.79%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.24%34.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.51%71.49%
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 52.84%
    Derby County 23.29%
    Draw 23.86%
Queens Park RangersDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.73%
2-0 @ 9.2%
3-1 @ 5.57%
3-0 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 2.39%
4-0 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 52.84%
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 6.59%
1-2 @ 5.98%
0-2 @ 3.48%
1-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 23.29%

How you voted: QPR vs Derby

Queens Park Rangers
44.6%
Draw
19.6%
Derby County
35.7%
56
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2021 7.45pm
Derby
1-2
QPR
Lawrence (10')
Willock (50'), Gray (90')
Gray (90+1')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Nov 4, 2020 7.45pm
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Derby
1-1
QPR
Waghorn (23')
Malone (16')
Eze (45' pen.)
Osayi-Samuel (49'), Cameron (75'), Manning (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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