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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park
Hull logo

Derby
3 - 1
Hull City

Forsyth (19'), Lawrence (38'), Ebosele (47')
Bielik (53'), Bird (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Forsyth (65' og.)
Docherty (17'), Greaves (21'), Honeyman (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Derby County 1-1 Hull City

This is a huge game for Derby, who need to return to winning ways as soon as possible if they are to move closer to safety. Hull's recent form has been impressive, though, and we believe that the two sides could end up cancelling each other out in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawHull City
33.29%28.78%37.92%
Both teams to score 45.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.8%61.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.86%81.14%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82%34.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.13%70.87%
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85%31.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51%67.48%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 33.3%
    Hull City 37.92%
    Draw 28.77%
Derby CountyDrawHull City
1-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 2.56%
3-0 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 33.3%
1-1 @ 13.33%
0-0 @ 10.64%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.77%
0-1 @ 12.41%
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-2 @ 7.24%
1-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 37.92%

How you voted: Derby vs Hull City

Derby County
64.1%
Draw
21.8%
Hull City
14.1%
78
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Hull City
0-1
Derby

Jones (71')
Baldock (57')
Morrison (79'), Roos (90+1'), Stretton (90+2')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 14
Hull City
2-0
Derby
Bowen (74', 80')
Irvine (11'), Bowler (44'), de Wijs (45'), Elder (63')

Holmes (53')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 31
Derby
2-0
Hull City
Waghorn (41', 71')
Wilson (93')

Ridgewell (90')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 6
Hull City
1-2
Derby
Kane (53')
de Wijs (14'), Burke (67')
Waghorn (23' pen.), Jozefzoon (88')
Tomori (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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