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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park
Hull logo

Derby
3 - 1
Hull City

Forsyth (19'), Lawrence (38'), Ebosele (47')
Bielik (53'), Bird (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Forsyth (65' og.)
Docherty (17'), Greaves (21'), Honeyman (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Derby County 1-1 Hull City

This is a huge game for Derby, who need to return to winning ways as soon as possible if they are to move closer to safety. Hull's recent form has been impressive, though, and we believe that the two sides could end up cancelling each other out in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawHull City
33.29%28.78%37.92%
Both teams to score 45.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.8%61.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.86%81.14%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82%34.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.13%70.87%
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85%31.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51%67.48%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 33.3%
    Hull City 37.92%
    Draw 28.77%
Derby CountyDrawHull City
1-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 2.56%
3-0 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 33.3%
1-1 @ 13.33%
0-0 @ 10.64%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.77%
0-1 @ 12.41%
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-2 @ 7.24%
1-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 37.92%

How you voted: Derby vs Hull City

Derby County
64.1%
Draw
21.8%
Hull City
14.1%
78
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Hull City
0-1
Derby

Jones (71')
Baldock (57')
Morrison (79'), Roos (90+1'), Stretton (90+2')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 14
Hull City
2-0
Derby
Bowen (74', 80')
Irvine (11'), Bowler (44'), de Wijs (45'), Elder (63')

Holmes (53')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 31
Derby
2-0
Hull City
Waghorn (41', 71')
Wilson (93')

Ridgewell (90')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 6
Hull City
1-2
Derby
Kane (53')
de Wijs (14'), Burke (67')
Waghorn (23' pen.), Jozefzoon (88')
Tomori (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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