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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huddersfield Town win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huddersfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huddersfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Huddersfield Town | Draw | Derby County |
42.91% | 26.59% | 30.5% |
Both teams to score 50.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.15% | 53.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.69% | 75.31% |
Huddersfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.13% | 24.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.52% | 59.48% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.67% | 32.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.17% | 68.83% |
Score Analysis |
Huddersfield Town | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.9% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 8.04% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 9.08% 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 5.13% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.67% Total : 30.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
4 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
> Championship Full Table |