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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Madejski Stadium
Derby logo

Reading
2 - 2
Derby

Hoilett (37', 56')
Laurent (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kazim-Richards (86'), Davies (90+1')
Davies (82'), Byrne (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Reading and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Reading 1-1 Derby County

Reading are probably the stronger side on paper but will have to overcome some ring rustiness after such an extended break between games. Derby are also playing well and look determined to pull off the impossible this season, so on this occasion we are backing a tight game ending in a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ReadingDrawDerby County
39.05%28.36%32.58%
Both teams to score 46.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.14%59.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.87%80.13%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.2%29.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.12%65.88%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.03%33.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.35%70.64%
Score Analysis
    Reading 39.05%
    Derby County 32.58%
    Draw 28.36%
ReadingDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 12.25%
2-1 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 7.42%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 1.75%
4-1 @ 0.98%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 39.05%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.36%
0-1 @ 10.93%
1-2 @ 7.14%
0-2 @ 5.9%
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 32.58%

How you voted: Reading vs Derby

Reading
35.6%
Draw
22.1%
Derby County
42.3%
104
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Derby
1-0
Reading
Forsyth (33')
Stearman (16'), Byrne (59'), Shinnie (74'), Lawrence (90+1')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 1
Derby
0-2
Reading

Shinnie (37'), Sibley (45+2'), Byrne (47')
Joao (40'), Ejaria (45+1')
Olise (64'), Richards (90+3')
Jun 27, 2020 1pm
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 23
Reading
3-0
Derby
Adam (5' pen.), Joao (58'), Meite (87' pen.)
Adam (62'), Blackett (82')

Lawrence (36'), Knight (55'), Lowe (60'), Holmes (74'), Bogle (80'), Sibley (82'), Forsyth (86')
Malone (4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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