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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Rotherham United |
62.37% ( 0.72) | 22.26% ( -0.31) | 15.37% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 45.3% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.25% ( 0.53) | 51.74% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.48% ( 0.46) | 73.51% ( -0.46) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.92% ( 0.43) | 16.07% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.54% ( 0.78) | 45.46% ( -0.77) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.98% ( -0.23) | 46.02% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.26% ( -0.18) | 81.74% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Rotherham United |
1-0 @ 13.52% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.88% Total : 62.36% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.64% Total : 22.25% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.31% Total : 15.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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