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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Rotherham logo

Hull City
4 - 1
Rotherham

Morton (5'), Philogene-Bidace (9', 48'), Twine (20')
McLoughlin (88')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Hall (59')
Hugill (41'), Revan (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Hull City and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 2-2 Hull City
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Leeds
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 2-1 Rotherham United

Although Rotherham would have been encouraged by Friday's draw with Leeds, their poor away form leaves little to be desired, and we think that their struggles on the road will continue with a defeat against a Hull side that have won their last two home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 15.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.

Result
Hull CityDrawRotherham United
62.37% (0.719 0.72) 22.26% (-0.312 -0.31) 15.37% (-0.404 -0.4)
Both teams to score 45.3% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (0.529 0.53)51.74% (-0.526 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (0.459 0.46)73.51% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.92% (0.42699999999999 0.43)16.07% (-0.426 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.54% (0.776 0.78)45.46% (-0.772 -0.77)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.98% (-0.235 -0.23)46.02% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.26% (-0.182 -0.18)81.74% (0.187 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 62.36%
    Rotherham United 15.37%
    Draw 22.25%
Hull CityDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 13.52% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 12.35% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.53% (0.165 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
4-0 @ 3.44% (0.124 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.67% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.26% (0.063 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 62.36%
1-1 @ 10.49% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 22.25%
0-1 @ 5.74% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-2 @ 4.07% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.23% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.05% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 15.37%

How you voted: Hull City vs Rotherham

Hull City
85.3%
Draw
5.9%
Rotherham United
8.8%
34
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Rotherham
2-4
Hull City
Barlaser (45+2'), Kelly (89')
Greaves (44'), Christie (52'), Longman (59'), Tufan (85')
Jan 4, 2020 12.31pm
Third Round
Rotherham
2-3
Hull City
Smith (20'), Vassell (43')
Ihiekwe (72')
Thompson (24')
Eaves (16', 66', 92')
Lopes (86'), Eaves (93')
Feb 12, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Hull City
2-2
Rotherham
Bowen (2'), Campbell (23')
Forde (48'), McKenzie (55' og.)
Vyner (91')
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Rotherham
2-3
Hull City
Wood (16'), Proctor (75')
Wood (86')
Irvine (28', 47'), Campbell (45')
Henriksen (46')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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