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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Rotherham logo

Watford
5 - 0
Rotherham

Rajovic (10', 45+4'), Kayembe (54'), Ince (86'), Martins (90+4')
Porteous (58'), Asprilla (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cafu (45'), Taylor (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-0 Watford
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Ipswich
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Rotherham United

Rotherham may benefit from Watford pushing for maximum points in this fixture, freeing up space at the back. However, the Hornets' superior quality should shine through, particularly at Vicarage Road when they are aware that draws are becoming less valuable. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 66.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 12.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.41%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawRotherham United
66.21% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 20.95% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 12.85% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 42.93% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.54% (-0.109 -0.11)51.46% (0.115 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.73% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)73.27% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.26% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)14.73% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.05% (-0.108 -0.11)42.95% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.35% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)49.65% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.59% (-0.016 -0.02)84.41% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Watford 66.2%
    Rotherham United 12.85%
    Draw 20.95%
WatfordDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 14% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 13.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 8.56% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.1% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 66.2%
1-1 @ 9.81% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.033 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.95%
0-1 @ 5.12% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 12.85%

How you voted: Watford vs Rotherham

Watford
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Rotherham United
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Rotherham
1-1
Watford
Wood (2')
Harding (18'), Peltier (27'), Wiles (32')
Issouf Bayo (33')
Asprilla (41'), Kayembe (66')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Rotherham
1-4
Watford
Ladapo (68')
Sierralta (9'), Sarr (26'), Sema (39'), Gosling (69')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Watford
2-0
Rotherham
Kabasele (4'), Deeney (15')

Jones (67'), Ihiekwe (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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