MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 05:08:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Rotherham logo

Watford
5 - 0
Rotherham

Rajovic (10', 45+4'), Kayembe (54'), Ince (86'), Martins (90+4')
Porteous (58'), Asprilla (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cafu (45'), Taylor (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-0 Watford
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Ipswich
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Rotherham United

Rotherham may benefit from Watford pushing for maximum points in this fixture, freeing up space at the back. However, the Hornets' superior quality should shine through, particularly at Vicarage Road when they are aware that draws are becoming less valuable. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 66.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 12.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.41%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawRotherham United
66.21% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 20.95% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 12.85% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 42.93% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.54% (-0.109 -0.11)51.46% (0.115 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.73% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)73.27% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.26% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)14.73% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.05% (-0.108 -0.11)42.95% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.35% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)49.65% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.59% (-0.016 -0.02)84.41% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Watford 66.2%
    Rotherham United 12.85%
    Draw 20.95%
WatfordDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 14% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 13.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 8.56% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.1% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 66.2%
1-1 @ 9.81% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.033 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.95%
0-1 @ 5.12% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 12.85%

How you voted: Watford vs Rotherham

Watford
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Rotherham United
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Rotherham
1-1
Watford
Wood (2')
Harding (18'), Peltier (27'), Wiles (32')
Issouf Bayo (33')
Asprilla (41'), Kayembe (66')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Rotherham
1-4
Watford
Ladapo (68')
Sierralta (9'), Sarr (26'), Sema (39'), Gosling (69')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Watford
2-0
Rotherham
Kabasele (4'), Deeney (15')

Jones (67'), Ihiekwe (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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