MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 10:10:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Rotherham logo
Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Leeds logo

Rotherham
1 - 1
Leeds

Odofin (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 5-0 Rotherham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-4 Leeds United

With this being a derby and one of their toughest fixtures on the calendar, Rotherham may play with a sense of freedom. Nevertheless, we expect Leeds to continue their recent resurgence, producing a ruthless performance to keep Leicester and Ipswich looking over their shoulder. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawLeeds United
26.85% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 23.76% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 49.4% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 57.58% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.07% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)43.92% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)66.31% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)29.87% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)65.96% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)17.89% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.32% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)48.68% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 26.85%
    Leeds United 49.4%
    Draw 23.75%
Rotherham UnitedDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 6.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 6.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 26.85%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 9.56%
0-1 @ 9.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 5.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.95%
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 49.4%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Leeds

Rotherham United
7.4%
Draw
11.8%
Leeds United
80.9%
68
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 29
Rotherham
1-2
Leeds
Ajayi (28')
Robertson (79')
Klich (51', 86')
Casilla (90'), Phillips (90')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Leeds
2-0
Rotherham
Ayling (49'), Roofe (72')

Taylor (16')
Jan 2, 2017 3pm
Leeds
3-0
Rotherham
Bartley (47'), Wood (66', 79')
Jansson (57')

Mattock (53')
Nov 26, 2016 5.30pm
Rotherham
1-2
Leeds
Wood (87')
Odemwingie (29')
Wood (14'), Doukara (45')
O'Kane (54'), Green (93')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Rotherham
2-1
Leeds
Frecklington (27'), Halford (90' pen.)
Best (44')
Derbyshire (61')
Murphy (79')
Bridcutt (57'), Bellusci (68')
Silvestri (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!