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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Hull City win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Southampton in this match.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Southampton |
37.5% ( -0.72) | 24.44% ( -0.38) | 38.05% ( 1.09) |
Both teams to score 59.82% ( 1.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57% ( 1.81) | 43% ( -1.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.6% ( 1.77) | 65.4% ( -1.77) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.2% ( 0.44) | 22.79% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.5% ( 0.65) | 56.5% ( -0.65) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% ( 1.39) | 22.51% ( -1.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.92% ( 2.03) | 56.08% ( -2.03) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.52) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.5% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.42) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
3 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
4 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
10 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
20 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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