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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Southampton logo

Hull City
1 - 2
Southampton

Delap (25')
Philogene-Bidace (45+1'), Christie (46'), Morton (52'), Sayyadmanesh (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Smallbone (20'), Fraser (90+5')
Manning (39'), Alcaraz (48'), Fraser (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Hull City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 2-2 Hull City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Rotherham
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 1-2 Southampton

Both of these sides possess plenty of quality, but the Saints should fancy themselves to mark their return to action with a victory at the weekend, after bouncing back to close to their best prior to the international break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Hull City win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Southampton in this match.

Result
Hull CityDrawSouthampton
37.5% (-0.718 -0.72) 24.44% (-0.378 -0.38) 38.05% (1.094 1.09)
Both teams to score 59.82% (1.405 1.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57% (1.809 1.81)43% (-1.811 -1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.6% (1.766 1.77)65.4% (-1.768 -1.77)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.2% (0.438 0.44)22.79% (-0.442 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.5% (0.648 0.65)56.5% (-0.65000000000001 -0.65)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (1.387 1.39)22.51% (-1.389 -1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (2.027 2.03)56.08% (-2.03 -2.03)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 37.5%
    Southampton 38.05%
    Draw 24.44%
Hull CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 7.59% (-0.518 -0.52)
2-0 @ 5.61% (-0.305 -0.31)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.127 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.5%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.178 0.18)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.422 -0.42)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 8.44% (0.133 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.65% (-0.297 -0.3)
0-2 @ 5.71% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.19% (0.231 0.23)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.209 0.21)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.121 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.146 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.121 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 38.05%

How you voted: Hull City vs Southampton

Hull City
33.3%
Draw
29.6%
Southampton
37.0%
27
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2016 2.15pm
Hull City
2-1
Southampton
Snodgrass (61'), Dawson (63')
Austin (6' pen.)
Tadic (29'), Clasie (57'), Bertrand (72'), Yoshida (83'), Romeu (91')
Feb 11, 2014 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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