Championship

Championship | Gameweek 3

Aug 18, 2023 at 8pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
1 - 1
West Brom

Ayling (72')
Gelhardt (15'), Shackleton (55'), James (61'), Struijk (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Thomas-Asante (52')
Furlong (9'), Molumby (29'), Phillips (56'), Pieters (71'), Yokuslu (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Leeds United and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: West Brom 3-2 Swansea
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leeds United 2-1 West Bromwich Albion

With both teams failing to convince during the early weeks of the season, this is a difficult match to call. Although West Brom will hold a certain level of confidence from seeing off Swansea, they look vulnerable in defence, leading us to predict a narrow home triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
35.46% ( 1.48)	24.47% ( 0.16)	40.07% ( -1.63)

Both teams to score 59.52% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.69% (

-0.46)

43.31% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.29% (

-0.45)

65.71% (

0.46)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.97% (

0.62)

24.03% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.71% (

0.87)

58.29% (

-0.87)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35% (

-0.96)

21.65% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.22% (

-1.5)

54.78% (

1.5)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 35.46%

West Bromwich Albion 40.07%

Draw 24.47%

Leeds United	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.46%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.47%	1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.56% Total : 40.07%