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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
West Brom logo

Leeds
1 - 1
West Brom

Ayling (72')
Gelhardt (15'), Shackleton (55'), James (61'), Struijk (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thomas-Asante (52')
Furlong (9'), Molumby (29'), Phillips (56'), Pieters (71'), Yokuslu (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Leeds United and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 West Bromwich Albion

With both teams failing to convince during the early weeks of the season, this is a difficult match to call. Although West Brom will hold a certain level of confidence from seeing off Swansea, they look vulnerable in defence, leading us to predict a narrow home triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawWest Bromwich Albion
35.46% (1.475 1.48) 24.47% (0.161 0.16) 40.07% (-1.631 -1.63)
Both teams to score 59.52% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.69% (-0.45800000000001 -0.46)43.31% (0.465 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.29% (-0.454 -0.45)65.71% (0.459 0.46)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (0.617 0.62)24.03% (-0.612 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (0.87 0.87)58.29% (-0.865 -0.87)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (-0.961 -0.96)21.65% (0.967 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (-1.497 -1.5)54.78% (1.503 1.5)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 35.46%
    West Bromwich Albion 40.07%
    Draw 24.47%
Leeds UnitedDrawWest Bromwich Albion
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.214 0.21)
1-0 @ 7.42% (0.279 0.28)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.289 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.168 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.179 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 35.46%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.106 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.09% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 40.07%

How you voted: Leeds vs West Brom

Leeds United
71.0%
Draw
15.9%
West Bromwich Albion
13.0%
69
Head to Head
May 23, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 38
Leeds
3-1
West Brom
Rodrigo (17'), Phillips (42'), Bamford (79' pen.)
Cooper (1'), Phillips (90+4')
Dec 29, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 16
West Brom
0-5
Leeds
Sawyers (9' og.), Alioski (31'), Harrison (36'), Rodrigo (40'), Raphinha (72')
Alioski (41')
Jan 1, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 26
West Brom
1-1
Leeds
Ajayi (2')
Krovinovic (40'), Bartley (72')
Ajayi (52' og.)
Cooper (67'), Ayling (70'), Costa (87')
Oct 1, 2019 7.45pm
Mar 1, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Leeds
4-0
West Brom
Hernandez (1'), Bamford (28', 63'), Alioski (92')

Barry (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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