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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
The Hawthorns
Norwich logo

West Brom
2 - 1
Norwich

Townsend (45+1'), Wallace (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sargent (41')
Byram (16'), Gibbs (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 West Brom
Wednesday, April 26 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-3 Swansea
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Norwich City

West Brom have squandered two chances to keep their playoff fate in their own hands after defeats to Sunderland and Sheffield United, but a wounded Norwich side visiting The Hawthorns presents a good opportunity to get back to winning ways. The Canaries were left feeling deflated after their humbling loss to Swansea last time out, and we expect them to be unable to get anything out of a trip to the Black Country on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawNorwich City
43.4% (-0.282 -0.28) 25.91% (0.081 0.08) 30.69% (0.197 0.2)
Both teams to score 53.05% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.96% (-0.268 -0.27)51.04% (0.265 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.1% (-0.233 -0.23)72.9% (0.23 0.23)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (-0.254 -0.25)23.39% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.63% (-0.368 -0.37)57.38% (0.365 0.37)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25%30.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (0.00099999999999767 0)67.02% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 43.4%
    Norwich City 30.69%
    Draw 25.91%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 43.4%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.076 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.48% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 5% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 30.69%

How you voted: West Brom vs Norwich

West Bromwich Albion
76.7%
Draw
16.7%
Norwich City
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
Norwich
1-1
West Brom
Byram (68')
Aarons (58')
O'Shea (9')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
gameweek 27
West Brom
1-1
Norwich
Gayle (12')
Barry (61'), Rodriguez (62'), Holgate (85')
Rhodes (83')
Tettey (56'), Buendia (62'), Krul (90'), Vrancic (94')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
gameweek 2
Norwich
3-4
West Brom
Rhodes (24'), Pukki (70'), Hanley (82')
Rodriguez (33' pen., 48'), Barnes (65'), Robson-Kanu (79')
Mar 19, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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