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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Norwich City |
43.4% ( -0.28) | 25.91% ( 0.08) | 30.69% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 53.05% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.96% ( -0.27) | 51.04% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.1% ( -0.23) | 72.9% ( 0.23) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% ( -0.25) | 23.39% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% ( -0.37) | 57.38% ( 0.37) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.25% | 30.75% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.99% ( 0) | 67.02% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 43.4% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 30.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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