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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
The Hawthorns
Norwich logo

West Brom
2 - 1
Norwich

Townsend (45+1'), Wallace (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sargent (41')
Byram (16'), Gibbs (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 West Brom
Wednesday, April 26 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-3 Swansea
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Norwich City

West Brom have squandered two chances to keep their playoff fate in their own hands after defeats to Sunderland and Sheffield United, but a wounded Norwich side visiting The Hawthorns presents a good opportunity to get back to winning ways. The Canaries were left feeling deflated after their humbling loss to Swansea last time out, and we expect them to be unable to get anything out of a trip to the Black Country on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawNorwich City
43.4% (-0.282 -0.28) 25.91% (0.081 0.08) 30.69% (0.197 0.2)
Both teams to score 53.05% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.96% (-0.268 -0.27)51.04% (0.265 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.1% (-0.233 -0.23)72.9% (0.23 0.23)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (-0.254 -0.25)23.39% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.63% (-0.368 -0.37)57.38% (0.365 0.37)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25%30.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (0.00099999999999767 0)67.02% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 43.4%
    Norwich City 30.69%
    Draw 25.91%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 43.4%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.076 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.48% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 5% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 30.69%

How you voted: West Brom vs Norwich

West Bromwich Albion
76.7%
Draw
16.7%
Norwich City
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
Norwich
1-1
West Brom
Byram (68')
Aarons (58')
O'Shea (9')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
gameweek 27
West Brom
1-1
Norwich
Gayle (12')
Barry (61'), Rodriguez (62'), Holgate (85')
Rhodes (83')
Tettey (56'), Buendia (62'), Krul (90'), Vrancic (94')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
gameweek 2
Norwich
3-4
West Brom
Rhodes (24'), Pukki (70'), Hanley (82')
Rodriguez (33' pen., 48'), Barnes (65'), Robson-Kanu (79')
Mar 19, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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