Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.