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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
West Brom logo

Swansea
3 - 2
West Brom

Cundle (26'), Ntcham (66'), Piroe (90+3')
Cooper (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Yokuslu (13'), Ajayi (54')
Thomas-Asante (76'), Gardner-Hickman (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Swansea City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 2-1 West Bromwich Albion

Swansea are one of the in-form sides in the Championship and they will be hoping to put on a show for their home supporters before the season ends. West Brom will have to go for it in South Wales to have any chance of reaching the top six, and we believe this could leave them vulnerable to the likes of Piroe and Ntcham on the break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
41.96% (-0.136 -0.14) 25.3% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 32.74% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Both teams to score 55.9% (-0.104 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.28% (-0.149 -0.15)47.72% (0.156 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.09% (-0.137 -0.14)69.91% (0.143 0.14)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (-0.128 -0.13)22.65% (0.135 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.72% (-0.192 -0.19)56.28% (0.199 0.2)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)27.73% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)63.3% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.96%
    West Bromwich Albion 32.74%
    Draw 25.3%
Swansea CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.33% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 41.96%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.28% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.74%

How you voted: Swansea vs West Brom

Swansea City
65.0%
Draw
5.0%
West Bromwich Albion
30.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
gameweek 12
West Brom
2-3
Swansea
Livermore (48'), Diangana (65')
Sorinola (6'), Ntcham (71'), Obafemi (89')
Manning (41')
Feb 28, 2022 8pm
gameweek 35
West Brom
0-2
Swansea
Piroe (79'), Christie (84')
Downes (33'), Cabango (64')
Oct 20, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 13
Swansea
2-1
West Brom
Piroe (61'), Paterson (83')
Paterson (83'), Bennett (90')
Grant (1')
Ajayi (9'), Furlong (43'), Molumby (45'), Livermore (69')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Dec 8, 2019 12pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
10Swansea CitySwansea631274310
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Millwall7223121028
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
16Bristol City6222812-48
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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