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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
West Brom logo

Swansea
3 - 2
West Brom

Cundle (26'), Ntcham (66'), Piroe (90+3')
Cooper (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Yokuslu (13'), Ajayi (54')
Thomas-Asante (76'), Gardner-Hickman (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Swansea City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 2-1 West Bromwich Albion

Swansea are one of the in-form sides in the Championship and they will be hoping to put on a show for their home supporters before the season ends. West Brom will have to go for it in South Wales to have any chance of reaching the top six, and we believe this could leave them vulnerable to the likes of Piroe and Ntcham on the break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
41.96% (-0.136 -0.14) 25.3% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 32.74% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Both teams to score 55.9% (-0.104 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.28% (-0.149 -0.15)47.72% (0.156 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.09% (-0.137 -0.14)69.91% (0.143 0.14)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (-0.128 -0.13)22.65% (0.135 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.72% (-0.192 -0.19)56.28% (0.199 0.2)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)27.73% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)63.3% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.96%
    West Bromwich Albion 32.74%
    Draw 25.3%
Swansea CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.33% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 41.96%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.28% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.74%

How you voted: Swansea vs West Brom

Swansea City
65.0%
Draw
5.0%
West Bromwich Albion
30.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
gameweek 12
West Brom
2-3
Swansea
Livermore (48'), Diangana (65')
Sorinola (6'), Ntcham (71'), Obafemi (89')
Manning (41')
Feb 28, 2022 8pm
gameweek 35
West Brom
0-2
Swansea
Piroe (79'), Christie (84')
Downes (33'), Cabango (64')
Oct 20, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 13
Swansea
2-1
West Brom
Piroe (61'), Paterson (83')
Paterson (83'), Bennett (90')
Grant (1')
Ajayi (9'), Furlong (43'), Molumby (45'), Livermore (69')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Dec 8, 2019 12pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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