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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2023 at 12pm UK
The Hawthorns
Sunderland

West Brom
1 - 2
Sunderland

Swift (45+1' pen.)
Molumby (23'), Yokuslu (38'), Swift (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cirkin (51', 84')
Gelhardt (70'), O'Nien (78'), Gooch (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 0-2 West Brom
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Sunderland

With both sides having found some form of late, we expect this to be a competitive fixture decided by narrow margins. Sunderland deserve respect for the away record that they have put together this season, but we cannot back against West Brom on familiar territory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSunderland
50.76% (0.489 0.49) 25.16% (-0.112 -0.11) 24.08% (-0.375 -0.38)
Both teams to score 50.41% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.88% (0.13 0.13)52.12% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.16% (0.114 0.11)73.84% (-0.114 -0.11)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (0.25700000000001 0.26)20.54% (-0.255 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (0.408 0.41)53.05% (-0.405 -0.41)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.44% (-0.264 -0.26)36.56% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.65% (-0.265 -0.27)73.34% (0.26599999999999 0.27)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 50.75%
    Sunderland 24.08%
    Draw 25.16%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.41% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.96% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 50.75%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.075 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 24.08%

How you voted: West Brom vs Sunderland

West Bromwich Albion
56.0%
Draw
28.0%
Sunderland
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 22
Sunderland
1-2
West Brom
Diallo (19' pen.)
Batth (33')
Rogic (70'), Dike (82')
Jan 21, 2017 3pm
Oct 1, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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