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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2023 at 12pm UK
The Hawthorns
Sunderland

West Brom
1 - 2
Sunderland

Swift (45+1' pen.)
Molumby (23'), Yokuslu (38'), Swift (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cirkin (51', 84')
Gelhardt (70'), O'Nien (78'), Gooch (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 0-2 West Brom
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Sunderland

With both sides having found some form of late, we expect this to be a competitive fixture decided by narrow margins. Sunderland deserve respect for the away record that they have put together this season, but we cannot back against West Brom on familiar territory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSunderland
50.76% (0.489 0.49) 25.16% (-0.112 -0.11) 24.08% (-0.375 -0.38)
Both teams to score 50.41% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.88% (0.13 0.13)52.12% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.16% (0.114 0.11)73.84% (-0.114 -0.11)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (0.25700000000001 0.26)20.54% (-0.255 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (0.408 0.41)53.05% (-0.405 -0.41)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.44% (-0.264 -0.26)36.56% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.65% (-0.265 -0.27)73.34% (0.26599999999999 0.27)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 50.75%
    Sunderland 24.08%
    Draw 25.16%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.41% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.96% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 50.75%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.075 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 24.08%

How you voted: West Brom vs Sunderland

West Bromwich Albion
56.0%
Draw
28.0%
Sunderland
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 22
Sunderland
1-2
West Brom
Diallo (19' pen.)
Batth (33')
Rogic (70'), Dike (82')
Jan 21, 2017 3pm
Oct 1, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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