Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 55.2%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 23.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.