Coventry2 - 1Reading
Wilson-Esbrand (61'), Hamer (81'), Eccles (87'), Norton-Cuffy (90+7'), Norton-Cuffy (90+7')
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Championship
We said: Coventry City 2-0 Reading
Coventry will be buoyed following their dramatic equaliser at Blackburn on Wednesday, and Robins's men can bring that momentum into a home tie with a struggling Reading outfit. The Royals deserve plaudits for holding both Luton and Burnley to draws over the past week, but the Berkshire club's woeful away form points towards a defeat in the West Midlands on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 58.07%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Reading had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Reading |
58.07% ( -1.86) | 24.03% ( 0.82) | 17.91% ( 1.05) |
Both teams to score 45.27% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.47% ( -1.56) | 54.53% ( 1.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.12% ( -1.31) | 75.89% ( 1.32) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.4% ( -1.25) | 18.6% ( 1.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.11% ( -2.15) | 49.89% ( 2.15) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.61% ( 0.38) | 44.39% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.56% ( 0.31) | 80.44% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 13.88% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.16% Total : 58.06% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 17.91% |