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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Leeds logo

Luton
1 - 1
Leeds

Jones (15')
Jones (22')
FT(HT: 1-1)
James (28')
Bogle (40'), Solomon (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Luton
Saturday, March 29 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Swansea
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Leeds United

Leeds will be desperate to return to winning ways after drawing their last two matches, but we think that they will have to settle for a point when they face a Luton side that are rejuvenated after losing just one of their previous five matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leeds United win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw has a probability of 24.2% and a win for Luton Town has a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Luton Town win it is 1-0 (6.83%).

Result
Luton TownDrawLeeds United
20.43% (1.02 1.02) 24.18% (0.499 0.5) 55.39% (-1.519 -1.52)
Both teams to score 48.81% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (-0.703 -0.7)51.94% (0.704 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31% (-0.612 -0.61)73.69% (0.614 0.61)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.98% (0.698 0.7)40.02% (-0.697 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.33% (0.633 0.63)76.67% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37% (-0.827 -0.83)18.63% (0.827 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.06% (-1.407 -1.41)49.94% (1.408 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 20.43%
    Leeds United 55.38%
    Draw 24.17%
Luton TownDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 6.83% (0.315 0.32)
2-1 @ 5.26% (0.204 0.2)
2-0 @ 3.13% (0.2 0.2)
3-1 @ 1.6% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 0.96% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 20.43%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.207 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.17%
0-1 @ 12.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.52% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 5.9% (-0.313 -0.31)
1-3 @ 5.4% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-4 @ 2.48% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.27% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 55.38%

How you voted: Luton vs Leeds

Luton Town
Draw
Leeds United
Luton Town
19.2%
Draw
5.8%
Leeds United
75.0%
52
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Leeds
3-0
Luton
Byram (10'), Piroe (45+1'), James (81')
Clark (90'), Ramazani (90')

Hashioka (50'), Rodon (68')
Jun 30, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Leeds
1-1
Luton
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Luton
1-2
Leeds
Collins (54')
Bamford (51'), Pearson (90' og.)
Ayling (53')
Aug 23, 2016 7.45pm
Round Two
Luton
0-1
Leeds

Lee (53')
Denton (23')
Grimes (1'), Coyle (62')
Jan 26, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds442713489296094
2Burnley442616261154694
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd442771060352586
4Sunderland4421131058411776
5Bristol City441716115749867
6Coventry CityCoventry44199166257566
7Middlesbrough441891764541063
8Millwall441712154546-163
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn44188185046462
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom441418125244860
11Swansea CitySwansea44179184852-460
12Watford44168205158-756
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds441511185867-956
14Norwich CityNorwich441314176766153
15Queens Park RangersQPR441314175258-653
16Portsmouth441410205669-1352
17Stoke CityStoke441214184560-1550
18Preston North EndPreston441019154555-1049
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd441213194462-1849
20Hull City441212204352-948
21Derby CountyDerby441210224756-946
22Luton TownLuton441210224164-2346
23Cardiff CityCardiff44916194669-2343
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441013214885-3743


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