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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Luton Town |
44.43% (![]() | 26.78% (![]() | 28.79% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.4% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.71% (![]() | 55.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.49% (![]() | 76.51% (![]() |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.25% (![]() | 24.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.69% (![]() | 59.32% (![]() |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.65% (![]() | 34.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.94% (![]() | 71.06% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 11.87% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.86% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.12% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 2.45% Total : 44.43% | 1-1 @ 12.68% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.5% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.73% ( ![]() Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 9.09% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.78% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.69% ( ![]() Other @ 2.24% Total : 28.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 72 | 23 | 49 | 76 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 76 |
3 | Burnley | 36 | 20 | 14 | 2 | 49 | 10 | 39 | 74 |
4 | Sunderland | 36 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 54 | 33 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 56 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 36 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 55 |
7 | Bristol City | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 53 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 52 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 50 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 49 |
11 | Watford | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 49 |
12 | Millwall | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 48 |
13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 48 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 44 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 44 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 36 | 9 | 16 | 11 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 43 |
17 | Portsmouth | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 39 |
19 | Hull City | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 37 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 36 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 59 | -20 | 36 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 32 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 31 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 30 |
> Championship Full Table |