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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Luton Town

Cardiff
vs.
Luton

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 4-0 Luton
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Championship

We say: Cardiff City 2-0 Luton Town

Cardiff have won three of their last five home outings, and with that in mind, we think that they will take all three points from Tuesday's fixture, especially as Luton have lost 14 of their last 15 away league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 51.37%. A draw has a probability of 26.2% and a win for Luton Town has a probability of 22.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Luton Town win it is 0-1 (8.18%).

Result
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
51.37% (6.366 6.37) 26.17% (-1.262 -1.26) 22.46% (-5.108 -5.11)
Both teams to score 45.83% (-0.991 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.76% (0.994 0.99)57.24% (-0.997 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.91% (0.784 0.78)78.09% (-0.78699999999999 -0.79)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (3.415 3.42)22.37% (-3.417 -3.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.12% (4.866 4.87)55.88% (-4.867 -4.87)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.03% (-4.053 -4.05)40.96% (4.052 4.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.47% (-3.826 -3.83)77.52% (3.824 3.82)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 51.37%
    Luton Town 22.46%
    Draw 26.16%
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 13.72% (0.82 0.82)
2-0 @ 10.27% (1.529 1.53)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.457 0.46)
3-0 @ 5.13% (1.179 1.18)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.641 0.64)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.081 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.581 0.58)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.38 0.38)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 51.37%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.61 -0.61)
0-0 @ 9.17% (-0.354 -0.35)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.25 -0.25)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.18% (-1.308 -1.31)
1-2 @ 5.47% (-0.942 -0.94)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-1.078 -1.08)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.503 -0.5)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.485 -0.49)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 22.46%

Who will win Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff and Luton?

Cardiff City
Draw
Luton Town
Cardiff City
71.4%
Draw
7.1%
Luton Town
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 14
Luton
1-0
Cardiff
Brown (57')
Morris (43'), Mengi (84')

Goutas (86')
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Luton
1-0
Cardiff
Adebayo (88')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff
1-2
Luton
Sawyers (85')
Freeman (47'), Osho (62')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Cardiff
0-1
Luton

Bagan (55')
Cornick (71')
Naismith (90+3')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Luton
1-2
Cardiff
Clark (64')
Rea (42')
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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