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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Luton
0 - 0
Middlesbrough


Brown (64'), Walsh (67')
FT

Iling-Junior (24'), Dijksteel (75'), Hackney (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-2 Luton
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 QPR
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-2 Middlesbrough

Both sides have been in improved form this month after difficult starts to the year, so expect a close-fought contest with so much at stake. Additionally, Luton have a poor home record while Middlesbrough have been lacklustre away from the Riverside, but the visitors are battling for a place in the playoffs and will be motivated to secure all three points against a relegation candidate on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawMiddlesbrough
32.13% (-0.194 -0.19) 26.39% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 41.48% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 52.14% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.51% (-0.418 -0.42)52.49% (0.419 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.84% (-0.359 -0.36)74.15% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (-0.34 -0.34)30.49% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-0.407 -0.41)66.71% (0.40899999999999 0.41)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (-0.131 -0.13)24.99% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36% (-0.185 -0.19)59.64% (0.186 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 32.13%
    Middlesbrough 41.48%
    Draw 26.39%
Luton TownDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.064 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.13%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 10.56% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 7.33% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.39% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 41.48%

How you voted: Luton vs Middlesbrough

Luton Town
Draw
Middlesbrough
Luton Town
31.9%
Draw
14.9%
Middlesbrough
53.2%
47
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
5-1
Luton
Burgzorg (30', 54'), Latte Lath (43'), Azaz (51', 87')
Burgzorg (31')
Clark (77')
Baptiste (15'), Hashioka (49'), Clark (62'), Morris (66')
Apr 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 44
Luton
2-1
Middlesbrough
Lockyer (49'), Morris (67' pen.)
Archer (40')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Middlesbrough
2-1
Luton
Akpom (38'), Crooks (90+1')
Clark (33')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Middlesbrough
2-1
Luton
McNair (17' pen.), Watmore (87')
Lumley (90+1'), Coburn (90+3')
Cornick (90+6')
Jerome (20'), Hylton (50'), Lansbury (61')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Luton
3-1
Middlesbrough
Bradley (57'), Adebayo (60'), Cornick (62')
Potts (30'), Bree (31'), Onyedinma (70'), Lansbury (79')
Coburn (15')
Crooks (39'), Coburn (59'), Watmore (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds442713489296094
2Burnley442616261154694
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd442771060352586
4Sunderland4421131058411776
5Bristol City441716115749867
6Coventry CityCoventry44199166257566
7Middlesbrough441891764541063
8Millwall441712154546-163
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn44188185046462
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom441418125244860
11Swansea CitySwansea44179184852-460
12Watford44168205158-756
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds441511185867-956
14Norwich CityNorwich441314176766153
15Queens Park RangersQPR441314175258-653
16Portsmouth441410205669-1352
17Stoke CityStoke441214184560-1550
18Preston North EndPreston441019154555-1049
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd441213194462-1849
20Hull City441212204352-948
21Derby CountyDerby441210224756-946
22Luton TownLuton441210224164-2346
23Cardiff CityCardiff44916194669-2343
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441013214885-3743


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