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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road
Millwall logo

Luton
2 - 2
Millwall

Adebayo (33'), Cooper (87' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bradshaw (25'), Afobe (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Millwall

Both teams will be stronger squad-wise than they were before the international break with players returning from injury, so the two managers will feel this is a good chance to set the tone for the final eight games. We think that it will be a tight game and predict that it will finish level. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawMillwall
53.35%26.52%20.14%
Both teams to score 42.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.46%60.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.35%80.65%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09%22.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32%56.68%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.67%45.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.8%81.2%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 53.34%
    Millwall 20.14%
    Draw 26.5%
Luton TownDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 15.3%
2-0 @ 11.27%
2-1 @ 8.92%
3-0 @ 5.54%
3-1 @ 4.38%
4-0 @ 2.04%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 53.34%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 3.53%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 8.22%
1-2 @ 4.79%
0-2 @ 3.25%
1-3 @ 1.26%
2-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 20.14%

How you voted: Luton vs Millwall

Luton Town
50.0%
Draw
26.1%
Millwall
23.9%
46
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Millwall
0-2
Luton

Cooper (69')
Cornick (11', 53')
Clark (72'), Naismith (83'), Bree (84')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Millwall
2-0
Luton
Cranie (45+3' og.), Mahoney (79')
Leonard (38'), Woods (60')

Cranie (66')
Jan 1, 2020 12.45pm
Oct 2, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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