Championship

Championship | Gameweek 40

Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK

Kenilworth Road

Luton
2 - 2
Millwall

Adebayo (33'), Cooper (87' og.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bradshaw (25'), Afobe (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Luton
Monday, May 16 at 7.45pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Sheffield United	46	18	75
6	Luton Town	46	8	75
7	Middlesbrough	46	9	70

Millwall

Last Six:

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Blackburn Rovers	46	9	69
9	Millwall	46	8	69
10	West Bromwich Albion	46	7	67

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Millwall

Both teams will be stronger squad-wise than they were before the international break with players returning from injury, so the two managers will feel this is a good chance to set the tone for the final eight games. We think that it will be a tight game and predict that it will finish level. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Millwall
53.35%	26.52%	20.14%

Both teams to score 42.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.46%

60.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.35%

80.65%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.09%

22.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.32%

56.68%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.67%

45.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.8%

81.2%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 53.34%

Millwall 20.14%

Draw 26.5%

Luton Town	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 15.3% 2-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 8.92% 3-0 @ 5.54% 3-1 @ 4.38% 4-0 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.73% 4-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.54% Total : 53.34%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.49% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 8.22% 1-2 @ 4.79% 0-2 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 1.26% 2-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.14%