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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Andrew's
Millwall logo

Birmingham
2 - 2
Millwall

Bacuna (47'), Taylor (79' pen.)
Roberts (52'), Taylor (54'), Sunjic (86'), Bacuna (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Burke (68'), Afobe (90+8')
Saville (25'), McNamara (72'), Cooper (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Blackburn
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 0-2 Millwall

While the pressure will be on playoff-chasing Millwall to claim maximum points, there is also plenty of pressure on Birmingham, with their supporters desperate to see a response to their heavy defeat on Monday. Millwall have fared better on home soil this season, but we can see them ending a four-game winless away run with victory over their out-of-form counterparts on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawMillwall
30.57%27.77%41.66%
Both teams to score 47.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.76%58.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.12%78.87%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43%34.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.71%71.29%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46%27.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94%63.05%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 30.56%
    Millwall 41.66%
    Draw 27.77%
Birmingham CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 6.93%
2-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 2.45%
3-0 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 30.56%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.52%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 12.27%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-2 @ 7.92%
1-3 @ 3.61%
0-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 1.17%
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 41.66%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Millwall

Birmingham City
25.8%
Draw
21.2%
Millwall
53.0%
66
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Millwall
3-1
Birmingham
Wallace (10'), Bradshaw (41'), Evans (74')
Deeney (56')
Pedersen (20'), Roberts (50')
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Millwall
2-0
Birmingham
Wallace (3'), Thompson (75')
Romeo (78'), Woods (80')

Harper (53'), Jutkiewicz (70')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Hull City391011183948-941
21Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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