Championship

Championship | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
2 - 1
Hull City

Malone (51'), Bradshaw (55')
Ballard (16'), Bialkowski (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Eaves (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Millwall and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

Last Six:

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Blackburn Rovers	46	9	69
9	Millwall	46	8	69
10	West Bromwich Albion	46	7	67

Hull City

Last Six:

Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Cardiff City	46	-18	53
19	Hull City	46	-13	51
20	Birmingham City	46	-25	47

We said: Millwall 2-0 Hull City

Although all of the pressure here will be on Millwall's shoulders, and despite Hull's fantastic away record of late, we are predicting a vital home win on Monday. The hosts are always a difficult side to play against at The Den, and with plenty riding on this game for them, they should be well up for the encounter and will be backed by a raucous atmosphere from the Millwall faithful. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Hull City
51.61%	27.02%	21.37%

Both teams to score 42.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.96%

61.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.97%

81.03%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.1%

23.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.89%

58.11%

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.72%

44.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.65%

80.36%

Score Analysis

Millwall 51.6%

Hull City 21.37%

Draw 27.02%

Millwall	Draw	Hull City
1-0 @ 15.14% 2-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 8.83% 3-0 @ 5.17% 3-1 @ 4.21% 4-0 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.33% Total : 51.6%	1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 3.6% Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 5.03% 0-2 @ 3.51% 1-3 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 0.98% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.37%