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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Hull logo

Millwall
2 - 1
Hull City

Malone (51'), Bradshaw (55')
Ballard (16'), Bialkowski (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Eaves (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Millwall and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 2-0 Hull City

Although all of the pressure here will be on Millwall's shoulders, and despite Hull's fantastic away record of late, we are predicting a vital home win on Monday. The hosts are always a difficult side to play against at The Den, and with plenty riding on this game for them, they should be well up for the encounter and will be backed by a raucous atmosphere from the Millwall faithful. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawHull City
51.61%27.02%21.37%
Both teams to score 42.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.96%61.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.97%81.03%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1%23.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.89%58.11%
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.72%44.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.65%80.36%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 51.6%
    Hull City 21.37%
    Draw 27.02%
MillwallDrawHull City
1-0 @ 15.14%
2-0 @ 10.84%
2-1 @ 8.83%
3-0 @ 5.17%
3-1 @ 4.21%
4-0 @ 1.85%
3-2 @ 1.72%
4-1 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 51.6%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 3.6%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 8.62%
1-2 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 3.51%
1-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 0.98%
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 21.37%

How you voted: Millwall vs Hull City

Millwall
77.5%
Draw
12.5%
Hull City
10.0%
40
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Hull City
2-1
Millwall
Honeyman (29'), Longman (54')
Smallwood (40'), Eaves (89')
Bradshaw (45+1')
McNamara (63'), Afobe (89')
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Millwall
1-1
Hull City
Wallace (10' pen.)
Wallace (58'), Dadi Bodvarsson (92')
Grosicki (18')
de Wijs (10'), Bowen (54'), Magennis (84'), Lichaj (92'), Long (93')
Magennis (93')
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Hull City
2-1
Millwall
Bowen (8'), Pugh (42')
Lichaj (92')
Hutchinson (34')
Marshall (30'), Cooper (66')
Jan 6, 2019 2pm
Millwall
2-1
Hull City
Ferguson (82', 85')
Toral (52')
Mazuch (84'), Batty (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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