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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road
Reading logo

Luton
1 - 0
Reading

Cornick (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rahman (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-0 Reading
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-0 Reading

It will certainly be a nervous afternoon at Kenilworth Road, but we expect Luton to get the job done and secure an all-important victory. The Hatters have been strong at home all season and Reading have shown in their last two games that there is little motivation in the squad now that they are assured of safety. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 19.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawReading
56.72%23.56%19.72%
Both teams to score 49.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61%50.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.67%72.33%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.43%17.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.88%48.12%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.11%39.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.45%76.55%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 56.7%
    Reading 19.72%
    Draw 23.56%
Luton TownDrawReading
1-0 @ 12.18%
2-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 9.74%
3-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 5.65%
4-0 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.13%
5-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 56.7%
1-1 @ 11.2%
0-0 @ 7.01%
2-2 @ 4.48%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.56%
0-1 @ 6.44%
1-2 @ 5.15%
0-2 @ 2.96%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 19.72%

How you voted: Luton vs Reading

Luton Town
77.1%
Draw
17.1%
Reading
5.7%
35
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Reading
0-2
Luton

Drinkwater (90'), Joao (90+1')
Holmes (33' og.), Campbell (58')
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Jan 9, 2021 12pm
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Reading
2-1
Luton
McIntyre (9'), Semedo (41')
McIntyre (44')
LuaLua (90+1')
Cranie (25'), LuaLua (75')
Sep 15, 2020 6pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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