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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Cardiff City logo

Millwall
2 - 1
Cardiff

Wallace (73'), Bennett (82')
Wallace (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bagan (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Millwall 1-1 Cardiff City

Cardiff's turnaround in form will give the Bluebirds plenty of reason to be confident as they head to The Den, particularly against a Millwall side struggling to put wins on the board. The Lions are gradually getting key players back from injury, though, and we think that they will hold the Welsh side to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 24.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawCardiff City
47.84%27.74%24.42%
Both teams to score 43.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.92%61.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.95%81.05%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.32%25.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.41%60.59%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.74%41.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.21%77.79%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 47.84%
    Cardiff City 24.42%
    Draw 27.73%
MillwallDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 14.4%
2-0 @ 9.79%
2-1 @ 8.67%
3-0 @ 4.44%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.51%
4-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 47.84%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.73%
0-1 @ 9.38%
1-2 @ 5.64%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.23%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 24.42%

How you voted: Millwall vs Cardiff

Millwall
15.6%
Draw
53.1%
Cardiff City
31.3%
32
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Cardiff
3-1
Millwall
Flint (66', 70'), Morrison (83')
Flint (51'), Nelson (86')
Afobe (76')
Cooper (65')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Cardiff
1-1
Millwall
Moore (71')
Bennett (69'), Vaulks (76'), Morrison (84')
Flint (9' og.)
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Millwall
1-1
Cardiff
Smith (35')
Woods (72'), Williams (88'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+5')
Moore (80')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Cardiff
1-1
Millwall
Flint (59')
Hoilett (81')
Wallace (63')
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Millwall
2-2
Cardiff
Bradshaw (45', 77')
Cooper (77')
Ward (12'), Hoilett (57')
Bennett (65')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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