Championship

Championship | Gameweek 32

Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
2 - 1
Cardiff

Wallace (73'), Bennett (82')
Wallace (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bagan (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Millwall 1-1 Cardiff City

Cardiff's turnaround in form will give the Bluebirds plenty of reason to be confident as they head to The Den, particularly against a Millwall side struggling to put wins on the board. The Lions are gradually getting key players back from injury, though, and we think that they will hold the Welsh side to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 24.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Cardiff City
47.84%	27.74%	24.42%

Both teams to score 43.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.92%

61.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.95%

81.05%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.32%

25.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.41%

60.59%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.74%

41.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.21%

77.79%

Score Analysis

Millwall 47.84%

Cardiff City 24.42%

Draw 27.73%

Millwall	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 14.4% 2-0 @ 9.79% 2-1 @ 8.67% 3-0 @ 4.44% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.03% Total : 47.84%	1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.73%	0-1 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 5.64% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.23% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.22% Total : 24.42%