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Championship | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
The Den
Derby logo

Millwall
0 - 1
Derby

FT(HT: 0-0)
Knight (69')
Shinnie (34'), Bielik (58'), Waghorn (85'), Kazim-Richards (86'), Byrne (87')

The Match

Match Report

Jason Knight scored the winner for Derby, Wayne Rooney's first victory in interim charge.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawDerby County
40.59%28.44%30.97%
Both teams to score 45.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.53%60.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.4%80.6%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79%29.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.84%65.16%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54%35.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.78%72.23%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 40.58%
    Derby County 30.96%
    Draw 28.42%
MillwallDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-1 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 7.84%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 1.03%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.42%
0-1 @ 10.73%
1-2 @ 6.85%
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 30.96%

How you voted: Millwall vs Derby

Millwall
43.8%
Draw
41.7%
Derby County
14.6%
96
Head to Head
Jun 20, 2020 1pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
0-1
Millwall

Martin (57')
Bradshaw (25')
Romeo (92'), Cooper (92')
Feb 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Derby
0-1
Millwall

Huddlestone (42'), Keogh (63')
Wallace (72')
Marshall (43'), Williams (87'), Elliott (96')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Millwall
2-1
Derby
Cooper (7'), Williams (20')
Cooper (61')
Nugent (73')
Nugent (72')
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland86021661018
2Burnley85211441017
3West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom8512126616
4Leeds UnitedLeeds8431135815
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn8431149515
6Middlesbrough842295414
7Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
8Watford74121210213
9Hull City8332129312
10Norwich CityNorwich83321210212
11Swansea CitySwansea732285311
12Oxford UnitedOxford Utd83231210211
13Derby CountyDerby83051012-29
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall8224121118
16Coventry CityCoventry8224911-28
17Plymouth ArgylePlymouth8224812-48
18Luton TownLuton8224813-58
19Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
20Queens Park RangersQPR8143914-57
21Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff8116317-144


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