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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
38.68% | 27.29% | 34.04% |
Both teams to score 49.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.34% | 55.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.19% | 76.81% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.02% | 27.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.38% | 63.62% |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.18% | 30.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.91% | 67.09% |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
1-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.67% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 10.15% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 5.97% 1-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.08% Total : 34.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |