MX23RW : Monday, March 31 00:34:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
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The Match

Match Report

Stoke have not won on the opening day of the season since 2009.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Millwall and Stoke City, including team news and injury news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawStoke City
42.26%27.8%29.94%
Both teams to score 47.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.43%58.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.86%79.13%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62%27.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.16%62.84%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.78%35.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.03%71.97%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 42.25%
    Stoke City 29.94%
    Draw 27.8%
MillwallDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 12.48%
2-1 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 8.09%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 42.25%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.64%
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.8%
0-1 @ 10.06%
1-2 @ 6.8%
0-2 @ 5.25%
1-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 29.94%

Head to Head
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 14
Millwall
2-0
Stoke
Thompson (28'), Wallace (75' pen.)
Ferguson (45')
Apr 27, 2019 1.30pm
Gameweek 45
Millwall
0-0
Stoke
Leonard (75')
Shawcross (74'), McClean (84')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
Stoke
1-0
Millwall
Berahino (61')
Clucas (83')

Elliott (65'), Wallace (89'), Hutchinson (90')
Feb 25, 2006 3pm
Stoke
2-1
Millwall
Hoefkens (15' pen.), Gallagher (57')
Skoko (66')
May (8')
Livermore (14'), Whitbread (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Hull City391011183948-941
21Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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