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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Mar 31, 2025 at 12am UK
Providence Park
Houston Dynamo

Portland
3 - 1
Houston

Mora (6'), Antony (23', 71')
Chara (11'), Mora (34'), Fory (43')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Escobar (12')
Steres (31'), Dorsey (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 0-3 Portland
Sunday, March 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Houston
Sunday, March 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 0-1 Houston Dynamo

For most of this campaign, the Timbers seem to have overcompensated to fix what was a leaky defensive unit last season, and in doing so, they have struggled to put forth a very dynamic attack. Houston have been plugging away and holding strong at the back despite several injuries, and we believe their tireless teamwork will pay off on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
45.5% (0.086999999999996 0.09) 23.79%30.7% (-0.09 -0.09)
Both teams to score 60.23% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.35% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)41.64% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.95% (-0.055 -0.05)64.04% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (0.013999999999996 0.01)18.55% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.2% (0.024000000000001 0.02)49.79% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.95% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)26.04% (0.083000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.91% (-0.113 -0.11)61.08% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 45.5%
    Houston Dynamo 30.7%
    Draw 23.78%
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.86% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.18% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 45.5%
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 30.7%

How you voted: Portland vs Houston

Portland Timbers
55.6%
Draw
22.2%
Houston Dynamo
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2024 3.30am
Portland
2-2
Houston
Mora (37'), Fogaca (76')
Zuparic (67'), Evander (71'), Chara (73'), Williamson (82'), Dorsey (90+5')
Kowalczyk (9'), Carrasquilla (50')
Escobar (27'), Bassi (52'), Herrera (53'), Micael (76'), Raines (90+7')
Mar 17, 2024 12.30am
Houston
1-0
Portland
Ibrahim (43')
Dorsey (52'), Kowalczyk (70'), Artur (80')

Zuparic (57'), Miller (64')
Oct 22, 2023 2am
Portland
1-3
Houston
Mora (80')
Chara (66'), McGraw (74')
Dorsey (11', 71'), Carrasquilla (48')
Micael (40'), Escobar (42'), Carrasquilla (45+4'), Herrera (67')
Aug 21, 2023 1.30am
Houston
5-0
Portland
Bassi (5' pen.), Quinones (11'), Baird (14'), Escobar (45+3'), Smith (63')
Escobar (22'), Dorsey (45+4')

Zuparic (45+1'), Evander (89'), Araujo (90')
Jun 30, 2022 3.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami5410115613
2Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia6402138512
3Columbus Crew633084412
4Chicago Fire63211310311
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC6312106410
6Nashville SCNashville631295410
7Orlando City63121512310
8FC CincinnatiCincinnati631289-110
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls62227618
10New York City FCNY City62229908
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta62221011-18
12DC United6132811-36
13New England RevolutionNew England511336-34
14Toronto6024612-62
15CF MontrealMontreal6024310-72

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver6411105513
2Austin FCAustin640253212
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd632196311
4Colorado RapidsColorado632187111
5Portland TimbersPortland631298110
6Dallas631299010
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles630389-19
8St Louis City62224228
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes62139907
10Seattle SoundersSeattle61328806
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake6204511-66
12Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy6024512-72
13Houston DynamoHouston6024411-72
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas6015612-61
15San Diego FC00000000


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