Serie A | Gameweek 30
Mar 31, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio1 - 1Torino
We said: Lazio 1-1 Torino
Lazio may find themselves frustrated again, as Torino are a well-organised unit and have lost only five times on the road. While Toro's work in the winter transfer window has halted a worrying decline, their hosts seem to be running out of steam after an excellent start. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Torino had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Torino |
56.45% ( 0.69) | 23.5% ( -0.18) | 20.04% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 50.23% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.26% ( 0.09) | 49.74% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.25% ( 0.08) | 71.75% ( -0.08) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.57% ( 0.28) | 17.43% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.12% ( 0.49) | 47.88% ( -0.49) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.83% ( -0.49) | 39.17% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.12% ( -0.46) | 75.88% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
Lazio 56.44%
Torino 20.04%
Draw 23.5%
| Lazio | Draw | Torino |
| 1-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.7% Total : 56.44% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.4% Total : 20.04% |
How you voted: Lazio vs Torino
Lazio
63.0%Draw
28.3%Torino
8.7%138
