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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Coventry City

Norwich
3 - 0
Coventry

Pukki (14'), Sargent (45+1'), Dowell (81')
Byram (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

Last Six:
Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Norwich
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

Coventry City

Last Six:
Last Game: Coventry 0-1 Preston
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-0 Coventry City

 Given the difference in quality and form between the two sides, it is difficult to envisage the Sky Blues leaving Carrow Road with a positive result on Saturday. The Canaries have quickly built momentum and found ways to win in their last two tight affairs, but we would not be surprised to see a slightly more comfortable victory on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawCoventry City
40.7% (0.837 0.84) 24.9% (-0.762 -0.76) 34.4% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.77% (2.624 2.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.5% (3.4 3.4)45.5% (-3.397 -3.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17% (3.162 3.16)67.83% (-3.16 -3.16)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (1.921 1.92)22.29% (-1.92 -1.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25% (2.804 2.8)55.75% (-2.8 -2.8)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34% (1.578 1.58)25.66% (-1.576 -1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44% (2.098 2.1)60.56% (-2.096 -2.1)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 40.7%
    Coventry City 34.4%
    Draw 24.89%
Norwich CityDrawCoventry City
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.138 0.14)
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.767 -0.77)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.306 0.31)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.33 0.33)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.199 0.2)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.097 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.179 0.18)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.351 0.35)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.874 -0.87)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.202 0.2)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.89%
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.796 -0.8)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.172 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.27 0.27)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.109 0.11)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.4%

How you voted: Norwich vs Coventry

Norwich City
86.3%
Draw
6.8%
Coventry City
6.8%
73
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Coventry
0-2
Norwich

Da Costa (4')
Pukki (28'), Buendia (45+1')
Hanley (17'), Gibson (70'), Cantwell (84')
Jan 9, 2021 12pm
Norwich
2-0
Coventry
McLean (6'), Hugill (7')
McLean (53'), Cantwell (66'), Hanley (87')

Hamer (63')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Norwich
1-1
Coventry
Vrancic (27' pen.)
Sorensen (55'), McAlear (90+2'), Aarons (90+2')
Biamou (89')
Aug 23, 2016 7.45pm
Norwich
6-1
Coventry
Lafferty (25'), Canos (36', 80'), Martin (58'), Murphy (63'), Godfrey (86')
Thompson (42')
Lameiras (56' pen.)
Jul 26, 2016 7.30pm
Norwich
3-0
Coventry
Hoolahan (11'), Murphy (65'), Murphy (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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