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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Coventry City

Millwall
3 - 2
Coventry

Cooper (36'), Honeyman (53'), Saville (85')
Shackleton (18'), Burey (30'), Afobe (62'), McNamara (68')
FT(HT: 1-2)
McFadzean (2'), Godden (28')
Hamer (37'), Bidwell (64'), McFadzean (82')
Hamer (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Millwall 2-1 Coventry City

Given their respective schedules over the past two weeks, everything appears to be in the favour of Millwall. Robins will feel that his Coventry side can only improve on the Bristol City game, but Millwall should have more in their legs to come through with a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.03%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Coventry City had a probability of 28.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Coventry City win it was 0-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawCoventry City
41.03% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 29.99% (0.0030000000000001 0) 28.99% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 40.95% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.07% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)65.93% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.46% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)84.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.3% (0.0039999999999907 0)31.7% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.12% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.96% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)40.04% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.31% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)76.69% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 41.03%
    Coventry City 28.98%
    Draw 29.98%
MillwallDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 14.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67%
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 41.03%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 12.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.98%
0-1 @ 11.61%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 28.98%

How you voted: Millwall vs Coventry

Millwall
68.3%
Draw
17.1%
Coventry City
14.6%
41
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Coventry
6-1
Millwall
Shipley (16'), McFadzean (45'), Hyam (59'), O'Hare (62'), James (67'), Walker (84')
McFadzean (81')
McFadzean (54' og.)
McNamara (6'), Evans (45'), Woods (69')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Millwall
1-2
Coventry
Wallace (74' pen.)
Woods (45+1'), Wallace (60')
Wallace (90+2')
Cooper (20' og.), Hamer (26')
Skiri Oestigaard (90+1')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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