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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Coventry City

Millwall
3 - 2
Coventry

Cooper (36'), Honeyman (53'), Saville (85')
Shackleton (18'), Burey (30'), Afobe (62'), McNamara (68')
FT(HT: 1-2)
McFadzean (2'), Godden (28')
Hamer (37'), Bidwell (64'), McFadzean (82')
Hamer (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Millwall 2-1 Coventry City

Given their respective schedules over the past two weeks, everything appears to be in the favour of Millwall. Robins will feel that his Coventry side can only improve on the Bristol City game, but Millwall should have more in their legs to come through with a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.03%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Coventry City had a probability of 28.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Coventry City win it was 0-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawCoventry City
41.03% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 29.99% (0.0030000000000001 0) 28.99% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 40.95% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.07% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)65.93% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.46% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)84.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.3% (0.0039999999999907 0)31.7% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.12% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.96% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)40.04% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.31% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)76.69% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 41.03%
    Coventry City 28.98%
    Draw 29.98%
MillwallDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 14.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67%
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 41.03%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 12.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.98%
0-1 @ 11.61%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 28.98%

How you voted: Millwall vs Coventry

Millwall
68.3%
Draw
17.1%
Coventry City
14.6%
41
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Coventry
6-1
Millwall
Shipley (16'), McFadzean (45'), Hyam (59'), O'Hare (62'), James (67'), Walker (84')
McFadzean (81')
McFadzean (54' og.)
McNamara (6'), Evans (45'), Woods (69')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Millwall
1-2
Coventry
Wallace (74' pen.)
Woods (45+1'), Wallace (60')
Wallace (90+2')
Cooper (20' og.), Hamer (26')
Skiri Oestigaard (90+1')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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