Championship

Championship | Gameweek 17

Dec 9, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
2 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Sorensen (45+2'), Buendia (77')
Skipp (53'), Buendia (59'), Aarons (74'), Cantwell (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Knockaert (73')
Sow (27')

Daniel Farke praises character of Norwich City players

It was the ninth time this season the Canaries have won a game by a single goal margin..

Dec 9, 23:19

The Match

Match Report

Emi Buendia's deflected effort snatched the Canaries the points.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 49.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Nottingham Forest
49.41%	26.79%	23.8%

Both teams to score 45.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.66%

58.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.04%

78.95%

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.28%

23.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.15%

57.85%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.71%

40.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.09%

76.91%

Score Analysis

Norwich City 49.41%

Nottingham Forest 23.8%

Draw 26.79%

Norwich City	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 13.75% 2-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 8.99% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.5% Total : 49.41%	1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 9.56% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.79%	0-1 @ 8.69% 1-2 @ 5.68% 0-2 @ 3.95% 1-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.32% Total : 23.8%