Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.