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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 23.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
51.64% ( -0.17) | 25.04% ( 0.24) | 23.32% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 49.96% ( -0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.7% ( -0.99) | 52.29% ( 0.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.01% ( -0.86) | 73.99% ( 0.86) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.75% ( -0.46) | 20.24% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.42% ( -0.74) | 52.58% ( 0.74) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.65% ( -0.61) | 37.35% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.86% ( -0.61) | 74.13% ( 0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
1-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.67% Total : 51.64% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 23.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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