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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Oxford Utd
2 - 6
Middlesbrough

Leigh (24'), Scarlett (72')
Moore (35')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Latte Lath (37' pen., 45', 49'), Azaz (42', 83'), Conway (80')
Azaz (27'), Borges (60'), Edmundson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-0 Oxford Utd
Friday, November 8 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-1 Luton
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 1-1 Middlesbrough

Oxford's form at home will ensure that Middlesbrough are not complacent about facing one of the smaller teams in the division. Nevertheless, we do not think it will be enough to earn more than a share of the spoils, a result that will suit the home side more so than the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 19.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
19.07% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 57.92% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 50.2% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)48.97% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.06% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.22% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)39.78% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)76.44% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)16.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)46.46% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 19.07%
    Middlesbrough 57.91%
    Draw 23%
Oxford UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 6.1%
2-1 @ 5.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 2.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 19.07%
1-1 @ 10.94%
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 11.86%
0-2 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-3 @ 6.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.87%
0-4 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.63%
2-4 @ 1.21%
0-5 @ 1.02%
1-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 57.91%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Middlesbrough

Oxford United
28.9%
Draw
26.7%
Middlesbrough
44.4%
45
Head to Head
Jul 12, 2017 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Middlesbrough
0-0
Oxford Utd
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
Fifth Round
Middlesbrough
3-2
Oxford Utd
Leadbitter (26' pen.), Gestede (34'), Stuani (86')
Ayala (62'), Chambers (71'), Negredo (92')
Maguire (64'), Martinez (66')
Ledson (76'), Johnson (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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