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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Oxford Utd
2 - 6
Middlesbrough

Leigh (24'), Scarlett (72')
Moore (35')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Latte Lath (37' pen., 45', 49'), Azaz (42', 83'), Conway (80')
Azaz (27'), Borges (60'), Edmundson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-0 Oxford Utd
Friday, November 8 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-1 Luton
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 1-1 Middlesbrough

Oxford's form at home will ensure that Middlesbrough are not complacent about facing one of the smaller teams in the division. Nevertheless, we do not think it will be enough to earn more than a share of the spoils, a result that will suit the home side more so than the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 19.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
19.07% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 57.92% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 50.2% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)48.97% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.06% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.22% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)39.78% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)76.44% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)16.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)46.46% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 19.07%
    Middlesbrough 57.91%
    Draw 23%
Oxford UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 6.1%
2-1 @ 5.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 2.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 19.07%
1-1 @ 10.94%
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 11.86%
0-2 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-3 @ 6.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.87%
0-4 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.63%
2-4 @ 1.21%
0-5 @ 1.02%
1-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 57.91%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Middlesbrough

Oxford United
28.9%
Draw
26.7%
Middlesbrough
44.4%
45
Head to Head
Jul 12, 2017 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Middlesbrough
0-0
Oxford Utd
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
Fifth Round
Middlesbrough
3-2
Oxford Utd
Leadbitter (26' pen.), Gestede (34'), Stuani (86')
Ayala (62'), Chambers (71'), Negredo (92')
Maguire (64'), Martinez (66')
Ledson (76'), Johnson (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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