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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Oxford United |
53.8% ( -0.07) | 23.82% ( 0.03) | 22.38% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 52.55% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.68% ( -0.08) | 48.31% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.54% ( -0.07) | 70.46% ( 0.07) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.12% ( -0.05) | 17.87% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.35% ( -0.09) | 48.65% ( 0.09) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.98% ( -0.01) | 36.01% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.2% ( -0.01) | 72.79% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 53.79% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 22.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 42 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 41 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Bristol City | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 21 |
17 | Derby CountyDerby | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 21 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 16 |
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