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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Oxford United

Watford
1 - 0
Oxford Utd

Issouf Bayo (54')
Porteous (34'), Baah (38'), Ebosele (62'), Issouf Bayo (75'), Morris (90+3'), Cleverley (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McEachran (45+1'), Moore (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Watford
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Hull City
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 3-1 Oxford United

Aiming to maintain their near-perfect record at Vicarage Road this season, we see Watford having the quality to come out on top in another high-scoring contest on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
WatfordDrawOxford United
53.8% (-0.067 -0.07) 23.82% (0.026 0.03) 22.38% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.55% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)48.31% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)70.46% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)17.87% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.35% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)48.65% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.98% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)36.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.79% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 53.79%
    Oxford United 22.38%
    Draw 23.81%
WatfordDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 11.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 9.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 53.79%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 22.38%

How you voted: Watford vs Oxford Utd

Watford
80.6%
Draw
11.0%
Oxford United
8.4%
155
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
1-1
Watford
(Aggregate 1-1 | Watford win 3-0 on penalties)
Hall (26')
Sema (89')
Navarro (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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