Plymouth were simply outclassed by a team charging towards the Premier League on Saturday, and we feel that West Brom's patchy away form will give the Pilgrims a real chance of earning three points.
The Baggies will be aiming to put breathing space between themselves and the top-six chasers with a win on Tuesday night, but we think that Corberan's men will have to settle for a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.