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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Cardiff City logo

Plymouth
3 - 1
Cardiff

Hardie (31', 52'), Whittaker (81')
Phillips (35'), Miller (41'), Mumba (50'), Scarr (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ng (10')
Meite (36'), Ng (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-3 Leeds
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Cardiff City

With Plymouth having lost some key men of late, this feels like somewhat of a walk into the unknown until they settle under Foster. That may hand Cardiff an opportunity to get a much-needed win on the board, even if it comes during the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCardiff City
51.4% (0.98 0.98) 22.28% (-0.146 -0.15) 26.32% (-0.831 -0.83)
Both teams to score 62.31% (-0.25 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.53% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)37.47% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)59.69% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.21% (0.334 0.33)14.79% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.94% (0.631 0.63)43.06% (-0.627 -0.63)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13% (-0.57899999999999 -0.58)26.87% (0.583 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.82% (-0.77 -0.77)62.18% (0.774 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 51.4%
    Cardiff City 26.32%
    Draw 22.28%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCardiff City
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.166 0.17)
3-1 @ 6.08% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.158 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.085 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.1 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 51.4%
1-1 @ 9.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.28%
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-1 @ 5.22% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 26.32%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Cardiff

Plymouth Argyle
53.8%
Draw
15.4%
Cardiff City
30.8%
26
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Cardiff
2-2
Plymouth
Butcher (31' og.), Grant (47')
Whittaker (17', 66')
Gibson (44')
Jul 21, 2017 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Cardiff
Zohore (49')
Dec 26, 2009 3pm
Cardiff
0-1
Plymouth

Bothroyd (33')
Sawyer (84')
Johnson (18'), Fallon (29'), Larrieu (49'), Fletcher (67')
Aug 18, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
1-3
Cardiff
Gow (90' pen.)
Sawyer (24')
Chopra (4', 80', 85')
Capaldi (28'), Matthews (36')
Capaldi (90')
Dec 28, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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