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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Cardiff City logo

Plymouth
3 - 1
Cardiff

Hardie (31', 52'), Whittaker (81')
Phillips (35'), Miller (41'), Mumba (50'), Scarr (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ng (10')
Meite (36'), Ng (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-3 Leeds
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Cardiff City

With Plymouth having lost some key men of late, this feels like somewhat of a walk into the unknown until they settle under Foster. That may hand Cardiff an opportunity to get a much-needed win on the board, even if it comes during the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCardiff City
51.4% (0.98 0.98) 22.28% (-0.146 -0.15) 26.32% (-0.831 -0.83)
Both teams to score 62.31% (-0.25 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.53% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)37.47% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)59.69% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.21% (0.334 0.33)14.79% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.94% (0.631 0.63)43.06% (-0.627 -0.63)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13% (-0.57899999999999 -0.58)26.87% (0.583 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.82% (-0.77 -0.77)62.18% (0.774 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 51.4%
    Cardiff City 26.32%
    Draw 22.28%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCardiff City
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.166 0.17)
3-1 @ 6.08% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.158 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.085 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.1 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 51.4%
1-1 @ 9.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.28%
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-1 @ 5.22% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 26.32%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Cardiff

Plymouth Argyle
53.8%
Draw
15.4%
Cardiff City
30.8%
26
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Cardiff
2-2
Plymouth
Butcher (31' og.), Grant (47')
Whittaker (17', 66')
Gibson (44')
Jul 21, 2017 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Cardiff
Zohore (49')
Dec 26, 2009 3pm
Cardiff
0-1
Plymouth

Bothroyd (33')
Sawyer (84')
Johnson (18'), Fallon (29'), Larrieu (49'), Fletcher (67')
Aug 18, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
1-3
Cardiff
Gow (90' pen.)
Sawyer (24')
Chopra (4', 80', 85')
Capaldi (28'), Matthews (36')
Capaldi (90')
Dec 28, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland28159440221854
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Bristol City2891183533238
10Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds28108104045-538
12Norwich CityNorwich2899104341236
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Portsmouth2778123546-1129
19Stoke CityStoke28610122636-1028
20Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
21Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
22Hull City2868142738-1126
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2849152560-3521


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