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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Plymouth Argyle

Sunderland
3 - 1
Plymouth

Ekwah (52'), Clarke (59'), Bellingham (67')
Ba (10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hardie (39')
Whittaker (24'), Phillips (33'), Mumba (44'), Gyabi (69'), Sorinola (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sunderland 2-2 Plymouth Argyle

Although Sunderland are the marginal favourites for this contest, it feels as though they are playing a resurgent Plymouth at the wrong time. With their new signings back in the side, we expect the Pilgrims to earn a share of the spoils in an entertaining tussle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawPlymouth Argyle
56.75% (0.084000000000003 0.08) 22.37% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 20.88% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.13% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (0.058999999999997 0.06)43.87% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.75% (0.059000000000005 0.06)66.25% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.75% (0.049000000000007 0.05)15.25% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.07% (0.089999999999996 0.09)43.93% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)34.95% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)71.7% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 56.75%
    Plymouth Argyle 20.88%
    Draw 22.36%
SunderlandDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 9.43% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.91% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 56.75%
1-1 @ 10.53% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.36%
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 20.88%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Plymouth

Sunderland
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
Plymouth Argyle
22.2%
36
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Plymouth
2-0
Sunderland
Whittaker (24'), Azaz (40')
Cundle (26'), Kesler (85'), Randell (90+1'), Mumba (90+2')

O'Nien (85')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Plymouth
0-0
Sunderland
Sessegnon (90+2')
Cirkin (59'), Evans (84')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Sunderland
2-1
Plymouth
Neill (4'), Broadhead (13')
Winchester (45+1'), Stewart (54'), Wright (77'), O'Brien (81')
Scarr (64')
Edwards (22'), Houghton (85')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Plymouth
1-3
Sunderland
Edwards (63')
Camara (42'), Law (49'), Opoku (54'), Edwards (76')
Opoku (64')
Stewart (21'), Maguire (84' pen.), Hume (90+2')
Jan 19, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Sunderland
1-2
Plymouth
O'Brien (51')
Winchester (28'), O'Brien (54')
Lewis (11'), Edwards (56')
Lewis (46'), Cooper (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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