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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Birmingham logo

West Brom
1 - 0
Birmingham

Weimann (85')
Kipre (34'), Corberan (34'), Furlong (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Buchanan (33'), Bielik (55'), Dozzell (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-1 Birmingham City

Despite losing to Wolves last time out, West Brom showed signs of promise against their Premier League visitors and will be desperate to get back to winning ways this weekend. Birmingham could have a different look to them with a number of January signings in line for their full debuts, and we feel that Blues will be able to earn a point at The Hawthorns. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for West Bromwich Albion in this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBirmingham City
60.03% (-0.382 -0.38) 21.8% (0.194 0.19) 18.17% (0.186 0.19)
Both teams to score 52.39% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75% (-0.544 -0.54)45.24% (0.539 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.41% (-0.521 -0.52)67.58% (0.518 0.52)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (-0.303 -0.3)14.65% (0.298 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.21% (-0.578 -0.58)42.79% (0.574 0.57)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.38% (-0.105 -0.1)38.62% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.64% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)75.36% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 60.02%
    Birmingham City 18.17%
    Draw 21.79%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.86% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 10.43% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.68% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 60.02%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.79%
0-1 @ 5.38% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.92% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.56% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 18.17%

How you voted: West Brom vs Birmingham

West Bromwich Albion
44.0%
Draw
48.0%
Birmingham City
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 11
Birmingham
3-1
West Brom
Bacuna (23' pen.), Sanderson (38'), Gardner (87')
Bielik (25'), Longelo (90+4')
Swift (5')
Kipre (86')
Feb 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Birmingham
2-0
West Brom
Mejbri (10'), Bielik (52')
Sep 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 10
West Brom
2-3
Birmingham
Wallace (23'), Thomas-Asante (83' pen.)
Hogan (14', 54', 72')
Apr 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Birmingham
1-0
West Brom
Taylor (67' pen.)
Taylor (75'), Bacuna (85')

Livermore (75')
Oct 15, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
West Brom
1-0
Birmingham
Grant (75')
Clarke (72'), Grant (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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