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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Birmingham logo

West Brom
1 - 0
Birmingham

Weimann (85')
Kipre (34'), Corberan (34'), Furlong (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Buchanan (33'), Bielik (55'), Dozzell (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-1 Birmingham City

Despite losing to Wolves last time out, West Brom showed signs of promise against their Premier League visitors and will be desperate to get back to winning ways this weekend. Birmingham could have a different look to them with a number of January signings in line for their full debuts, and we feel that Blues will be able to earn a point at The Hawthorns. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for West Bromwich Albion in this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBirmingham City
60.03% (-0.382 -0.38) 21.8% (0.194 0.19) 18.17% (0.186 0.19)
Both teams to score 52.39% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75% (-0.544 -0.54)45.24% (0.539 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.41% (-0.521 -0.52)67.58% (0.518 0.52)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (-0.303 -0.3)14.65% (0.298 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.21% (-0.578 -0.58)42.79% (0.574 0.57)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.38% (-0.105 -0.1)38.62% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.64% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)75.36% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 60.02%
    Birmingham City 18.17%
    Draw 21.79%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.86% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 10.43% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.68% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 60.02%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.79%
0-1 @ 5.38% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.92% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.56% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 18.17%

How you voted: West Brom vs Birmingham

West Bromwich Albion
44.0%
Draw
48.0%
Birmingham City
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 11
Birmingham
3-1
West Brom
Bacuna (23' pen.), Sanderson (38'), Gardner (87')
Bielik (25'), Longelo (90+4')
Swift (5')
Kipre (86')
Feb 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Birmingham
2-0
West Brom
Mejbri (10'), Bielik (52')
Sep 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 10
West Brom
2-3
Birmingham
Wallace (23'), Thomas-Asante (83' pen.)
Hogan (14', 54', 72')
Apr 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Birmingham
1-0
West Brom
Taylor (67' pen.)
Taylor (75'), Bacuna (85')

Livermore (75')
Oct 15, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
West Brom
1-0
Birmingham
Grant (75')
Clarke (72'), Grant (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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