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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Stoke City |
39.36% ( 0.03) | 27.7% ( -0.01) | 32.94% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.36% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.61% ( 0.05) | 57.39% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.79% ( 0.04) | 78.21% ( -0.05) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.58% ( 0.04) | 28.42% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.82% ( 0.05) | 64.18% ( -0.05) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.56% ( 0.02) | 32.44% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.04% ( 0.02) | 68.96% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 39.35% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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