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Championship | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Stoke logo

Preston
0 - 2
Stoke


Hughes (14')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smallbone (58'), Campbell (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Preston
Wednesday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 3-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 1-1 Stoke City

Even though there have been goals aplenty in Preston's last two fixtures, that does not stop us from feeling that this may not be the most entertaining of affairs. With that in mind, we can only predict a low-scoring draw, a result which would not necessarily suit either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawStoke City
39.36% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 27.7% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 32.94% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.36% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.61% (0.052999999999997 0.05)57.39% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.79% (0.042999999999999 0.04)78.21% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.040999999999997 0.04)28.42% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.82% (0.053999999999995 0.05)64.18% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (0.018000000000001 0.02)32.44% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.04% (0.021000000000001 0.02)68.96% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 39.35%
    Stoke City 32.94%
    Draw 27.69%
Preston North EndDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.06% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 39.35%
1-1 @ 13.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.94%

How you voted: Preston vs Stoke

Preston North End
45.7%
Draw
23.9%
Stoke City
30.4%
46
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2022 3pm
Stoke
1-2
Preston
Wilmot (46')
Allen (64'), Doughty (79'), Ince (90+4')
Potts (59'), Hughes (81')
Hughes (49'), Ledson (90+1')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Preston
1-1
Stoke
Whiteman (38')
Cunningham (31'), Riis Jakobsen (88')
Powell (6')
Skiri Oestigaard (25'), Wilmot (83'), Tymon (90'), Clucas (90+2')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Preston
0-1
Stoke

Maguire (90+1')
Barkhuizen (22')
Gregory (39')
McClean (58'), Smith (66'), Brown (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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