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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.16%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 26.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Watford |
46.16% ( 0.04) | 27.39% ( -0) | 26.44% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 46.15% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.29% ( -0.02) | 58.71% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.75% ( -0.02) | 79.24% ( 0.02) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.57% ( 0.01) | 25.43% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.75% ( 0.01) | 60.25% ( -0.02) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.88% ( -0.05) | 38.11% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.12% ( -0.05) | 74.88% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 13.27% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 46.16% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 26.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |