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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 2, 2022 at 12pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Watford logo

Stoke
0 - 4
Watford


Fosu (14'), Delap (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sarr (12'), Sema (64'), Davis (78'), Issouf Bayo (84')
Bachmann (32'), Asprilla (48'), Sema (64'), Sierralta (69'), Choudhury (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 Sunderland
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Watford

Given the upheaval at Watford, Stoke arguably enter this contest as the marginal favourites. However, we cannot ignore the extra attacking quality within the Hornets ranks, leading us to predict a competitive draw being played out in the Potteries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.16%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 26.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawWatford
46.16% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 27.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.44% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.15% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.29% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)58.71% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.75% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)79.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)25.43% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (0.012999999999998 0.01)60.25% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.88% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)38.11% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.12% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)74.88% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 46.16%
    Watford 26.44%
    Draw 27.39%
Stoke CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 13.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.09% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 46.16%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 9.69% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 26.44%

How you voted: Stoke vs Watford

Stoke City
50.0%
Draw
23.3%
Watford
26.7%
60
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Watford
1-3
Stoke
Fletcher (61')
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')
Jan 22, 2021 7.45pm
Stoke
1-2
Watford
Fletcher (83')
Collins (81')
Deeney (64' pen.), Sarr (68')
Sierralta (18'), Femenia (34')
Nov 4, 2020 7pm
Watford
3-2
Stoke
Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')
Jan 31, 2018 8pm
Stoke
0-0
Watford

Adam (21'), Bauer (35'), Biram Diouf (52'), Pieters (59')

Kabasele (18'), Holebas (47'), Doucoure (90')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Watford
0-1
Stoke

Femenia (57'), Richarlison (76'), Doucoure (87'), Deeney (90')
Fletcher (16')
Choupo-Moting (62'), Shaqiri (85'), Biram Diouf (87'), Allen (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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