Championship

Championship | Gameweek 13

Oct 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
1 - 1
Stoke

Roberts (54')
Harwood-Bellis (22'), Vitinho (26')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Clarke (87')
Wilmot (64'), Delap (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Burnley
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 0-4 Watford
Sunday, October 2 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burnley 3-1 Stoke City

Flying full-backs and a firing front line, a return to Turf Moor should help Burnley to recover from another last-minute equaliser conceded on the weekend. Against a Stoke City side who were in disarray on Saturday, we expect the Clarets to get the job done reasonably comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Stoke City
54.54% ( -0.38)	24.38% ( -0.08)	21.08% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 49.15% (

0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.04% (

0.83)

51.96% (

-0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.29% (

0.71)

73.71% (

-0.7)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.03% (

0.17)

18.97% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.5% (

0.28)

50.5% (

-0.27)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.65% (

0.95)

39.35% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.95% (

0.88)

76.05% (

-0.87)

Score Analysis

Burnley 54.53%

Stoke City 21.08%

Draw 24.37%

Burnley	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 12.4% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.04% Total : 54.53%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.37%	0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.4% Total : 21.08%