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Championship | Gameweek 16
Oct 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Cardiff City logo

QPR
3 - 0
Cardiff

Dykes (19' pen., 33'), Paal (74')
Johansen (26'), Paal (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ng (1'), Nelson (28'), Nkounkou (54'), Wintle (70'), Harris (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 3-1 QPR
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Coventry
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Cardiff City

Given the uncertainty at both clubs in one way or another, any result feels possible. Nevertheless, we can only back QPR to continue their form in front of their own supporters, potentially edging this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawCardiff City
46.26% (0.624 0.62) 26.74% (0.204 0.2) 27% (-0.826 -0.83)
Both teams to score 48.37% (-1.158 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.95% (-1.218 -1.22)56.04% (1.218 1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.87% (-0.997 -1)77.12% (0.997 1)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (-0.235 -0.23)24.2% (0.234 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.47% (-0.333 -0.33)58.53% (0.332 0.33)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.82% (-1.325 -1.33)36.18% (1.327 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.03% (-1.374 -1.37)72.97% (1.373 1.37)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 46.26%
    Cardiff City 27%
    Draw 26.73%
Queens Park RangersDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.42% (0.49 0.49)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.29 0.29)
3-1 @ 4.24% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 46.26%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.402 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.18 -0.18)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 8.9% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 27%

How you voted: QPR vs Cardiff

Queens Park Rangers
61.9%
Draw
19.0%
Cardiff City
19.0%
21
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
QPR
1-2
Cardiff
Gray (38')
Dickie (73')
Davies (70'), Colwill (74')
Nov 3, 2021 7.45pm
Cardiff
0-1
QPR
Gray (37')
Dickie (47'), Adomah (85')
Jan 20, 2021 7pm
Cardiff
0-1
QPR
Willock (71')
Barbet (36'), Cameron (48'), Chair (89')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
QPR
3-2
Cardiff
Chair (15'), Kane (27'), Ball (90+1')
Chair (15'), Cameron (31'), Kane (45+2'), Barbet (48')
Ralls (49' pen., 85')
Ralls (22'), Bacuna (38'), Tomlin (75')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
QPR
6-1
Cardiff
Wells (9', 48', 64'), Osayi-Samuel (27', 41'), Eze (57')
Leistner (39'), Amos (86')
Vaulks (91')
Tomlin (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Hull City391011183948-941
21Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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