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Championship | Gameweek 16
Oct 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Cardiff City logo

QPR
3 - 0
Cardiff

Dykes (19' pen., 33'), Paal (74')
Johansen (26'), Paal (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ng (1'), Nelson (28'), Nkounkou (54'), Wintle (70'), Harris (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 3-1 QPR
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Coventry
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Cardiff City

Given the uncertainty at both clubs in one way or another, any result feels possible. Nevertheless, we can only back QPR to continue their form in front of their own supporters, potentially edging this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawCardiff City
46.26% (0.624 0.62) 26.74% (0.204 0.2) 27% (-0.826 -0.83)
Both teams to score 48.37% (-1.158 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.95% (-1.218 -1.22)56.04% (1.218 1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.87% (-0.997 -1)77.12% (0.997 1)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (-0.235 -0.23)24.2% (0.234 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.47% (-0.333 -0.33)58.53% (0.332 0.33)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.82% (-1.325 -1.33)36.18% (1.327 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.03% (-1.374 -1.37)72.97% (1.373 1.37)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 46.26%
    Cardiff City 27%
    Draw 26.73%
Queens Park RangersDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.42% (0.49 0.49)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.29 0.29)
3-1 @ 4.24% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 46.26%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.402 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.18 -0.18)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 8.9% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 27%

How you voted: QPR vs Cardiff

Queens Park Rangers
Draw
Cardiff City
Queens Park Rangers
61.9%
Draw
19.0%
Cardiff City
19.0%
21
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
QPR
1-2
Cardiff
Gray (38')
Dickie (73')
Davies (70'), Colwill (74')
Nov 3, 2021 7.45pm
Cardiff
0-1
QPR
Gray (37')
Dickie (47'), Adomah (85')
Jan 20, 2021 7pm
Cardiff
0-1
QPR
Willock (71')
Barbet (36'), Cameron (48'), Chair (89')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
QPR
3-2
Cardiff
Chair (15'), Kane (27'), Ball (90+1')
Chair (15'), Cameron (31'), Kane (45+2'), Barbet (48')
Ralls (49' pen., 85')
Ralls (22'), Bacuna (38'), Tomlin (75')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
QPR
6-1
Cardiff
Wells (9', 48', 64'), Osayi-Samuel (27', 41'), Eze (57')
Leistner (39'), Amos (86')
Vaulks (91')
Tomlin (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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