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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Burnley logo

Cardiff
1 - 1
Burnley

Robinson (90')
Nkounkou (32'), Ng (47'), Kipre (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tella (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Cardiff
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Bristol City
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 0-2 Burnley

Under temporary guidance, it is unclear how the Cardiff squad will react to the exit of their manager. However, Burnley's added quality and extra strength-in-depth should shine through at some stage, leading us to predict a professional performance and victory from Kompany's men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBurnley
32.1% (-0.258 -0.26) 27.89% (-0.108 -0.11) 40.02% (0.373 0.37)
Both teams to score 47.59% (0.245 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74% (0.343 0.34)58.26% (-0.335 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (0.267 0.27)78.89% (-0.261 -0.26)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)33.47% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)70.11% (0.012 0.01)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (0.376 0.38)28.47% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (0.467 0.47)64.23% (-0.46199999999999 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 32.09%
    Burnley 40.02%
    Draw 27.88%
Cardiff CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.42% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.09%
1-1 @ 13.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.53% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.88%
0-1 @ 11.97% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.23% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.52% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 40.02%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Burnley

Cardiff City
Draw
Burnley
Cardiff City
10.5%
Draw
14.0%
Burnley
75.4%
57
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Cardiff
Wood (31', 92')
Tarkowski (42'), Barnes (45')

Bennett (45'), Arter (50'), Peltier (50'), Camarasa (82')
Sep 30, 2018 4pm
Cardiff
1-2
Burnley
Murphy (60')
Cunningham (69')
Berg Gudmundsson (51'), Vokes (70')
Westwood (45'), Lowton (87'), Lennon (90')
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
Apr 20, 2013 12.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Burnley402315255124384
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd40267756302683
3Leeds UnitedLeeds402313479285182
4Sunderland402112757372075
5Middlesbrough401791461491260
6Bristol City401515105143860
7Coventry CityCoventry40178155753459
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom401318948361257
9Millwall401412143941-254
10Watford40158174853-553
11Norwich CityNorwich401313146256652
12Blackburn RoversBlackburn40157184243-152
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds401410165461-752
14Preston North EndPreston401018124047-748
15Swansea CitySwansea40139184151-1048
16Queens Park RangersQPR401113164553-846
17Portsmouth40129194863-1545
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd401112174157-1645
19Hull City401111184048-844
20Stoke CityStoke401013174153-1243
21Derby CountyDerby40118214252-1041
22Cardiff CityCardiff40914174363-2041
23Luton TownLuton40109213661-2539
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth40813194278-3637


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