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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Burnley logo

Cardiff
1 - 1
Burnley

Robinson (90')
Nkounkou (32'), Ng (47'), Kipre (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tella (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Cardiff
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Bristol City
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 0-2 Burnley

Under temporary guidance, it is unclear how the Cardiff squad will react to the exit of their manager. However, Burnley's added quality and extra strength-in-depth should shine through at some stage, leading us to predict a professional performance and victory from Kompany's men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBurnley
32.1% (-0.258 -0.26) 27.89% (-0.108 -0.11) 40.02% (0.373 0.37)
Both teams to score 47.59% (0.245 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74% (0.343 0.34)58.26% (-0.335 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (0.267 0.27)78.89% (-0.261 -0.26)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)33.47% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)70.11% (0.012 0.01)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (0.376 0.38)28.47% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (0.467 0.47)64.23% (-0.46199999999999 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 32.09%
    Burnley 40.02%
    Draw 27.88%
Cardiff CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.42% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.09%
1-1 @ 13.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.53% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.88%
0-1 @ 11.97% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.23% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.52% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 40.02%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Burnley

Cardiff City
10.5%
Draw
14.0%
Burnley
75.4%
57
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Cardiff
Wood (31', 92')
Tarkowski (42'), Barnes (45')

Bennett (45'), Arter (50'), Peltier (50'), Camarasa (82')
Sep 30, 2018 4pm
Cardiff
1-2
Burnley
Murphy (60')
Cunningham (69')
Berg Gudmundsson (51'), Vokes (70')
Westwood (45'), Lowton (87'), Lennon (90')
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
Apr 20, 2013 12.45pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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